Who Should I Draft?

Joey Gallo or Jesus Aguilar (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 55# 58
Best Rank# 28# 30
Worst Rank# 192# 130
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 78# 99
Best Rank# 75# 88
Worst Rank# 85# 110
   
Projections 
   
Runs7787
Home Runs3141
RBI9595
Stolen Bases05
Batting Average.260.219
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertMiLBIL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 68# 91
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 55
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 66
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 56
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 35# 58
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 66# 79
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 63
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 107
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 76
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 56# 63
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 78
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 77
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 44# 75
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 53# 78
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 43# 73
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 67
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 41# 60
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 63# 78
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 60# 66
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 59# 60
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 62
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 70
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 65# 67
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 68# 70
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 67
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 38# 53
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 77
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 130
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 67# 96
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 52# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 63
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 54# 30
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 35# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 66# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 75# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 88# 42
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 65# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 52# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 44
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 76# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 132# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 89# 49
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 49
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 65# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 60# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 55# 51
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 60# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 79# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 66# 55
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 71# 56
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 75# 57
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 58
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 65# 59
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 192# 100
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats492500
   
Runs8082
   
Hits135103
   
Singles7538
   
Doubles2524
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs3540
   
RBI10892
   
Stolen Bases03
   
Caught Stealing04
   
Walks5874
   
Strikeouts143207
   
Batting Average.274.206
   
On Base Pct.352.312
   
Slugging Pct.539.498
   
On-base Plus Slugging.890.810
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats520498
   
Runs7787
   
Hits135109
   
Singles7843
   
Doubles2523
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs3141
   
RBI9595
   
Stolen Bases05
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks5576
   
Strikeouts147201
   
Batting Average.260.219
   
On Base Pct.330.322
   
Slugging Pct.492.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.845
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
News 
 Jesus Aguilar hit a two-run homer in his only at-bat in Tuesday's loss to the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Joey Gallo (wrist) said he's unlikely to return this season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and another RBI in Friday's victory over the Angels.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Joey Gallo (wrist) was placed on the 60-day injured list Friday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
 Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run Friday against the Indians.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 31st
Joey Gallo (wrist) is unlikely to play in the Rangers' upcoming weekend series against the A's, and may not ultimately return this season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
Joey Gallo (wrist) is expected to come off the injured list September 20th.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
Joey Gallo will have to undergo surgery to repair a broken hamate bone in his wrist.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 25th
Notes 
 After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Gallo has reached 40 HRs in each of his two full Major League seasons, and will enter 2019 as one of the best pure power hitters in the game. Unfortunately, that power comes attached to a .203 career batting average, meaning that fantasy owners who draft Gallo in standard 5x5 formats will need to either punt batting average or make a concerted effort to offset the damage he'll do there. Whether you draft Gallo or not is largely a matter of roster construction, but expect him to finish right around the top-100 players in terms of overall fantasy value. He does walk quite a bit, giving him a major boost in OBP formats.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
You may not love the idea of destroying your team's batting average with his .210 line, but you'll be hard-pressed to find 40 homers, and perhaps even 50 from anyone 50 picks early, let alone around the 9th round of drafts. If you combine him with Daniel Murphy in the 5th, you've got two players who combine for a .260 average with 65-70 homers. When you look at it that way, Gallo's value jumps off the page.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Barring a ton of good fortune, drafters should no longer draft Gallo hoping for a spike to even a .230 batting average. With MLB's worst contact rate last season (61.7%), it's no guarantee the career .203 hitter clears the Mendoza Line. He also, however, joined J.D. Martinez and Khris Davis as the only sluggers to belt 40 homers in each of the last two years. It will take a precise roster to tolerate the average liability in applicable leagues, but he's a much better investment in OBP, OPS and/or points leagues.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros