Who Should I Draft?

Joey Votto or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Joey Votto
1B - CIN
Joey Votto
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
46 of 56 experts
18%
Recommended by
10 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 50
Best Rank# 22# 12
Worst Rank# 85# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 65
Best Rank# 46# 58
Worst Rank# 67# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8597
Home Runs2228
RBI8376
Stolen Bases43
Batting Average.292.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 49# 51
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 36
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 34# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 65
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 51# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 50
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 44# 65
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 36# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 49# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 47# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 48# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 38# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 74# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 32# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 51# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 22# 66
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 34# 47
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 29# 48
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 40# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 30# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 53# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 42# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 34# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 33# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 60# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 61
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 31# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 39# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 32# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 44# 70
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 38
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 33# 29
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 33
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 26
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 35
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 41# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 45# 37
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 51# 24
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 56# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 77# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 85# 78
   
  Joey Votto
1B - CIN
Joey Votto
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats503564
   
Runs67111
   
Hits143145
   
Singles10167
   
Doubles2842
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs1236
   
RBI6781
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks108102
   
Strikeouts101158
   
Batting Average.284.257
   
On Base Pct.417.374
   
Slugging Pct.420.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.837.897
   
  Joey Votto
1B - CIN
Joey Votto
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats522529
   
Runs8597
   
Hits152135
   
Singles9971
   
Doubles3035
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2228
   
RBI8376
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks10895
   
Strikeouts101140
   
Batting Average.292.256
   
On Base Pct.413.369
   
Slugging Pct.482.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.895.855
   
  Joey Votto
1B - CIN
Joey Votto
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Joey Votto went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in the Reds' 5-1 loss to the Angels on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-5 with a two-run triple and a run scored in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Athletics on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
 Joey Votto went 3-for-3 with a three-run home run in the Reds' 7-5 loss to the Brewers on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 23rd
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Joey Votto went 2-for-4 with a pair of doubles and a run scored in the Reds' 4-3 win over the Astros on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 19th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
 Joey Votto (back) is in Friday’s lineup versus the Rangers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Joey Votto was removed from Wednesday's game versus the Indians with mid-back stiffness.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Notes 
 Votto did not return second round value or even close to it last year, but his ADP should be around the fifth this year. You can expect his batting average to bounceback above .300, and don't forget that he had 94 HRs in the previous three years before his 12 in 2018
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Votto enters 2019 as one of the bigger mysteries in fantasy baseball, following a season in which he hit just 12 HRs in 145 games and produced a .284 batting average that was 27 points lower than his career .311 mark. Was this an issue of mechanics, injuries, or simply advancing age? Votto believes it was a mechanical issue with his swing that he can fix, but only time will tell. Even in a down year, his prodigious plate discipline remained in tact, so he is sure to remain a major asset in OBP leagues. He's a little riskier in standard 5x5 formats, but first base is shallow and he should bounce back enough to at least remain a decent starter in 12-team leagues. The Miguel Cabrera career path feels like a worst case scenario, and that isn't too bad.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Votto, now 35 years old, hit 12 homers last year after clubbing 36 in 2017. At least he maintained his stellar plate approach, tallying more walks (108) than strikeouts (101) while lacing MLB's second-highest line-drive rate (31.4%) behind Freddie Freeman. While still a commendable performer in OBP and points leagues, he'll need a power uptick to justify an early investment in roto and H2H category formats. A modest rise in last year's career-low 9.5% HR/FB rate should at least steer him closer to his .477 xSLG with 20-25 homers. That would make him a worthy bounce-back pick if paired with anything near his career .311 batting average.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros