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Who Should I Draft?

John Means or Rafael Montero (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Rafael Montero
RP - SEA
Rafael Montero
John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 70# 74
Best Rank# 41# 39
Worst Rank# 160# 197
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 169# 229
Best Rank# 158# 197
Worst Rank# 215# 290
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts67129
Wins38
Saves210
ERA3.924.64
WHIP1.211.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 75# 80
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 87# 93
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 68# 76
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 67# 77
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 91
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 56# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 67
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 58# 121
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 103
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 69# 78
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 80
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 85# 95
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 66
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 60# 97
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 71# 80
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 73# 75
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 61# 81
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 64# 75
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 99# 111
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 72# 78
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 79
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 67# 101
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 109# 129
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 79# 83
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 69# 73
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 71# 76
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 59# 90
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 86# 89
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 70# 75
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 48# 197
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 73# 82
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 84# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 106# 51
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 78# 54
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 99# 58
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 62# 61
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 65# 63
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 87# 68
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 78# 69
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 89# 70
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 77# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 81# 74
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 76# 75
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 82# 77
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 81# 77
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 83# 79
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 90# 84
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 160# 86
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 97# 89
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Rafael Montero
RP - SEA
Rafael Montero
John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1710
   
Games Started010
   
Innings Pitched18.344.2
   
Wins02
   
Losses14
   
Saves80
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed1236
   
Earned Runs822
   
Home Runs Allowed212
   
Strikeouts1942
   
Walks67
   
ERA4.084.53
   
WHIP1.020.98
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Rafael Montero
RP - SEA
Rafael Montero
John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6029
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched60.0149.1
   
Wins38
   
Losses310
   
Saves210
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds40
   
Hits Allowed52148
   
Earned Runs2677
   
Home Runs Allowed929
   
Strikeouts67129
   
Walks2037
   
ERA3.924.64
   
WHIP1.211.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Rafael Montero
RP - SEA
Rafael Montero
John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
News 
 Rafael Montero blew his third save of the season in game one of the Mariners doubleheader Tuesday against Baltimore, allowing one run on two hits in the seventh inning with one strikeout and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Apr 14th
John Means allowed three earned runs on five hits, two walks, and five strikeouts. He did not factor into the decision.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 14th
 Rafael Montero recorded his second save of the season Sunday against the Twins, tossing a quick 1-2-3 inning.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Apr 11th
John Means threw 93 pitches, allowing seven hits and one run while walking two and striking out five against the Yankees on Wednesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Thu, Apr 8th
 Rafael Montero allowed one run in the eighth inning Saturday, walking two hitters with one strikeout.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 10th
John Means threw 97 pitches over seven innings, allowing one hit while striking out five as the Orioles topped the Red Sox, 3-0 on Opening Day.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Apr 2nd
 Rafael Montero struck out the side in the ninth inning Wednesday against the White Sox.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Apr 8th
 
 Rafael Montero earned a four-out save Saturday, not allowing a base runner with one strikeout.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Apr 4th
 
Notes 
 Montero wound up closing for the Rangers and totaling eight saves in 2020, but it wasn't a particularly special season. His hard-hit rate and walk-rate increased from his strong 2019 season, and he totaled a 4.08 ERA. Now with Seattle, Montero's best asset may be his lack of competition for the closer's role, as Seattle has struggled for several seasons to find a reliable ninth-inning option. Draft Montero as a mid-tier closer, who you're taking more for his job security than his spectacular numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Means's 4.53 ERA and grotesque home run rate are probably going to scare the casual fantasy manager away, but there is a ton to like about him heading into 2021. First, Means had a weird year last season, as he dealt with arm fatigue early and then his father passed away, so his schedule was certainly thrown up into the air at the start. Probably because of those difficulties, his outstanding changeup wasn't effective earlier in the season, but it was back to being his money pitch by season's end. Add to that Means' increase in velocity, his strong finish (1.52 ERA, 30 strikeouts over his last four starts), and his excellent command, and there's a breakout waiting to happen, despite the tough division.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Means has always been good at limiting walks (95th percentile walk rate in 2020) but last summer he also added two mph to his fastball velocity. While the box score results weren't immediate, Means finished the year on a tear. Over his final four starts the lefty posted a 30:3 K:BB ratio in 23 2/3 innings pitched. This type of skill change is something to buy into late in drafts.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
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