Who Should I Draft?
John Means or Rafael Montero (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Rafael Montero RP - SEA  | John Means SP - BAL  | |
Expert |
62% Recommended by 31 of 50 experts |
38% Recommended by 19 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 70 | # 74 |
| Best Rank | # 41 | # 39 |
| Worst Rank | # 160 | # 197 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 169 | # 229 |
| Best Rank | # 158 | # 197 |
| Worst Rank | # 215 | # 290 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 67 | 129 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Saves | 21 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.92 | 4.64 |
| WHIP | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 75 | # 80 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 87 | # 93 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 68 | # 76 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 67 | # 77 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 91 | ‐ |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 56 | # 68 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 60 | # 67 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 58 | # 121 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 55 | # 103 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 69 | # 78 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 41 | # 80 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 85 | # 95 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 53 | # 66 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 60 | # 97 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 71 | # 80 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 73 | # 75 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 61 | # 81 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 64 | # 75 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 99 | # 111 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 72 | # 78 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 69 | # 79 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 67 | # 101 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 109 | # 129 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 79 | # 83 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 69 | # 73 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 71 | # 76 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 59 | # 90 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 86 | # 89 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 70 | # 75 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 48 | # 197 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 73 | # 82 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 84 | # 39 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 51 | # 49 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 106 | # 51 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 78 | # 54 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 99 | # 58 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 62 | # 61 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 65 | # 63 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 87 | # 68 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 78 | # 69 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 89 | # 70 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 77 | # 74 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 81 | # 74 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 76 | # 75 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 82 | # 77 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 81 | # 77 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 83 | # 79 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 90 | # 84 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 160 | # 86 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 97 | # 89 |
| Rafael Montero RP - SEA | John Means SP - BAL | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 17 | 10 |
| Games Started | 0 | 10 |
| Innings Pitched | 18.3 | 44.2 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Saves | 8 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 12 | 36 |
| Earned Runs | 8 | 22 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 2 | 12 |
| Strikeouts | 19 | 42 |
| Walks | 6 | 7 |
| ERA | 4.08 | 4.53 |
| WHIP | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Rafael Montero RP - SEA | John Means SP - BAL | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 60 | 29 |
| Games Started | 0 | 28 |
| Innings Pitched | 60.0 | 149.1 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 10 |
| Saves | 21 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 5 | 0 |
| Holds | 4 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 52 | 148 |
| Earned Runs | 26 | 77 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 9 | 29 |
| Strikeouts | 67 | 129 |
| Walks | 20 | 37 |
| ERA | 3.92 | 4.64 |
| WHIP | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Rafael Montero RP - SEA | John Means SP - BAL | |
| News | ||
| Rafael Montero blew his third save of the season in game one of the Mariners doubleheader Tuesday against Baltimore, allowing one run on two hits in the seventh inning with one strikeout and one walk. Ari Koslow Wed, Apr 14th | John Means allowed three earned runs on five hits, two walks, and five strikeouts. He did not factor into the decision. Lucas Babits-Feinerman Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Rafael Montero recorded his second save of the season Sunday against the Twins, tossing a quick 1-2-3 inning. Ari Koslow Sun, Apr 11th | John Means threw 93 pitches, allowing seven hits and one run while walking two and striking out five against the Yankees on Wednesday. Lucas Babits-Feinerman Thu, Apr 8th | |
| Rafael Montero allowed one run in the eighth inning Saturday, walking two hitters with one strikeout. Ari Koslow Sat, Apr 10th | John Means threw 97 pitches over seven innings, allowing one hit while striking out five as the Orioles topped the Red Sox, 3-0 on Opening Day. Lucas Babits-Feinerman Fri, Apr 2nd | |
| Rafael Montero struck out the side in the ninth inning Wednesday against the White Sox. Ari Koslow Thu, Apr 8th | ||
| Rafael Montero earned a four-out save Saturday, not allowing a base runner with one strikeout. Ari Koslow Sun, Apr 4th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Montero wound up closing for the Rangers and totaling eight saves in 2020, but it wasn't a particularly special season. His hard-hit rate and walk-rate increased from his strong 2019 season, and he totaled a 4.08 ERA. Now with Seattle, Montero's best asset may be his lack of competition for the closer's role, as Seattle has struggled for several seasons to find a reliable ninth-inning option. Draft Montero as a mid-tier closer, who you're taking more for his job security than his spectacular numbers. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Means's 4.53 ERA and grotesque home run rate are probably going to scare the casual fantasy manager away, but there is a ton to like about him heading into 2021. First, Means had a weird year last season, as he dealt with arm fatigue early and then his father passed away, so his schedule was certainly thrown up into the air at the start. Probably because of those difficulties, his outstanding changeup wasn't effective earlier in the season, but it was back to being his money pitch by season's end. Add to that Means' increase in velocity, his strong finish (1.52 ERA, 30 strikeouts over his last four starts), and his excellent command, and there's a breakout waiting to happen, despite the tough division. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Means has always been good at limiting walks (95th percentile walk rate in 2020) but last summer he also added two mph to his fastball velocity. While the box score results weren't immediate, Means finished the year on a tear. Over his final four starts the lefty posted a 30:3 K:BB ratio in 23 2/3 innings pitched. This type of skill change is something to buy into late in drafts. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
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