Who Should I Draft?

Jose Altuve or Javier Baez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
81%
Recommended by
48 of 59 experts
19%
Recommended by
11 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 18
Best Rank# 3# 6
Worst Rank# 35# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 18
Best Rank# 7# 16
Worst Rank# 17# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs9587
Home Runs1830
RBI8096
Stolen Bases2217
Batting Average.317.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 12# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 16
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 7# 10
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 13# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 9# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 6# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 4# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 32
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 3# 7
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 5# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 11# 15
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 10# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 8# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 10# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 23
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 11# 22
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 17# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 18
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 13
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 9# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 9# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 15
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 11# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 15# 13
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 15# 14
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 6
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 20# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 14
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 21# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 29# 9
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 35# 11
   
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats534606
   
Runs84101
   
Hits169176
   
Singles12593
   
Doubles2940
   
Triples29
   
Home Runs1334
   
RBI61111
   
Stolen Bases1721
   
Caught Stealing49
   
Walks5529
   
Strikeouts79167
   
Batting Average.317.290
   
On Base Pct.386.326
   
Slugging Pct.451.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.837.881
   
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582582
   
Runs9587
   
Hits184161
   
Singles12893
   
Doubles3533
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs1830
   
RBI8096
   
Stolen Bases2217
   
Caught Stealing66
   
Walks5633
   
Strikeouts80159
   
Batting Average.317.276
   
On Base Pct.377.315
   
Slugging Pct.483.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.859.822
   
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Jose Altuve went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 6-4 win over the Angels.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
 Jose Altuve went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
 Jose Altuve went 2-for-5 with a solo home run in Friday's 4-1 win over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
 Jose Altuve went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a walk and a stolen base in Thursday's 3-2 loss to the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 13th
Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
 Jose Altuve went 3-for-3 with a two-run home run, two RBI and two runs scored in Monday's 15-0 win over the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 10th
Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 It can be easy to be discouraged by Altuve "only" batting .316 with limited power and steals, but the injury seemed to influence his performance much more than most realize. You can expect a return to his 20 homer, 30 steal, 110 runs season with a batting average north of .330
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Altuve is coming off a down year by his high standards, although he still finished just inside the top-60 players in standard 5x5 roto formats. Fantasy owners should expect a modest rebound, but it would be unwise to expect Altuve to fully return to the first round player he once was. His back-to-back 24 HR seasons in 2016 and 2017 always looked unsustainable based on his high ground ball rate, and while last year's 13 homers may be his floor in that department, fantasy owners shouldn't realistically expect more than 15-17. Meanwhile, Altuve's sprint speed is down and his stolen base attempts have declined for five straight years, suggesting that he may not steal 20 bases, let alone 30.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Last year's consensus No. 2 pick, Altuve stumbled to just 13 homers and 17 steals in 137 games. Despite the down year, drafters should pounce if the 2017 AL MVP falls into the second round. He was batting .342 through June before a knee injury interfered, eventually forcing the first DL appearance of his career. After an offseason to heal, he should veer closer to 20-homer, 25-steal form with a sky-high average and plenty of scoring output in Houston's star-studded lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros