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Who Should I Draft?

Jose Altuve or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
38 of 45 experts
16%
Recommended by
7 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 22# 31
Best Rank# 10# 20
Worst Rank# 76# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 30# 40
Best Rank# 27# 34
Worst Rank# 33# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3533
Home Runs99
RBI2930
Stolen Bases53
Batting Average.307.301
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 29
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 34
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 37# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 26
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 25# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 29
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 16# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 23# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 27# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 18# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 38
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 45
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 26# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 25# 54
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 18# 33
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 16# 29
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 22# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 22# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 33# 79
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 28# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 30
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 33# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 35# 22
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 46# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 76# 26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats500569
   
Runs8997
   
Hits149187
   
Singles88110
   
Doubles2736
   
Triples39
   
Home Runs3132
   
RBI7492
   
Stolen Bases610
   
Caught Stealing52
   
Walks4153
   
Strikeouts8286
   
Batting Average.298.329
   
On Base Pct.353.389
   
Slugging Pct.550.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.903.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204210
   
Runs3533
   
Hits6363
   
Singles4138
   
Doubles1212
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs99
   
RBI2930
   
Stolen Bases53
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks1920
   
Strikeouts3333
   
Batting Average.307.301
   
On Base Pct.366.362
   
Slugging Pct.504.513
   
On-base Plus Slugging.870.875
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 The Astros cancelled Monday's workout due to not receiving test results from Friday. They were also not tested over the holiday weekend.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Mon, Jul 6th
 
 Jose Altuve went 0-for-3 in Monday's 2-1 Grapefruit League win over the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Mar 9th
 
 Jose Altuve (illness) is expected to return to Grapefruit League action on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Mar 4th
 
 Jose Altuve will not play in Tuesday’s game, he has the same illness that has been going around the Astros clubhouse and should be back soon.
Aaron Hudson
Tue, Mar 3rd
 
 Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports the Astros have come to terms on a two-year contract with manager Dusty Baker.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jan 29th
 
Notes 
 Jose Altuve has lived in the early rounds of fantasy drafts for the past five years. But now, after the cheating scandal and slight decline, Altuve is dropping to the third round. If you haven't noticed yet, second base is a weak position, so it's a good spot to grab Altuve. He's still on the right side of 30, but just temper the expectations for the stolen base numbers to return to vintage Altuve-type numbers.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Altuve hit a career-high 31 homers last year but still only finished as the #10 fantasy second basemen because the steals have disappeared and his batting average has continued to drop. With that said, he has been so consistent for long enough that he may still be the top second basemen for 2020.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There is a TON of upside potential for Altuve as much as 15 picks higher than where I am ranking him, but as I do my rankings I keep seeing players I would rather have and more and more doubts that Altuve will get back to stealing 20+ bases. Without those steals, the plus BA isn't enough to make me bite over the alternatives.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Scary drop in SBs and SB success rate. Average dropped under .300 for the first time since 2013. Exit Velocity and Hard hit % were below average so a significant drop in HRs can be assumed. Avoiding at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy