Who Should I Draft?

Jose Alvarado or Andrew Miller (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Andrew Miller
RP - STL
Andrew Miller
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 65# 76
Best Rank# 34# 42
Worst Rank# 136# 164
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 166# 214
Best Rank# 157# 162
Worst Rank# 195# 247
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7578
Wins33
Saves2711
ERA3.042.93
WHIP1.231.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertMiLB-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 87
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 75# 81
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 86
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 76# 94
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 76# 128
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 77
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 72
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 63# 79
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 55# 63
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 43# 107
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 74# 123
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 62# 84
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 57
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 64# 76
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 68# 70
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 90
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 70# 88
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 50# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 65
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 59# 100
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 71# 77
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 102
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 73# 105
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 74
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 48# 164
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 56
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 66# 70
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 45# 96
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 54# 83
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 64
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 50# 94
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 100
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 87
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 65# 72
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 93
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 68# 117
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 69# 75
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 61# 58
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 74# 68
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 75# 64
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 77# 74
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 82# 69
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 85# 65
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 89# 84
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 90# 42
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 90# 75
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 91# 90
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 96# 89
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 97# 95
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 106# 81
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 108# 72
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 113# 85
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 121# 83
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 136# 72
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 95
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 102
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Andrew Miller
RP - STL
Andrew Miller
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played7037
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched64.134.1
   
Wins12
   
Losses64
   
Saves82
   
Blown Saves43
   
Holds3110
   
Hits Allowed4231
   
Earned Runs1716
   
Home Runs Allowed13
   
Strikeouts8045
   
Walks2916
   
ERA2.394.24
   
WHIP1.111.38
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Andrew Miller
RP - STL
Andrew Miller
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6356
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched62.058.6
   
Wins33
   
Losses32
   
Saves2711
   
Blown Saves103
   
Holds714
   
Hits Allowed4745
   
Earned Runs2119
   
Home Runs Allowed45
   
Strikeouts7578
   
Walks2921
   
ERA3.042.93
   
WHIP1.231.12
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Andrew Miller
RP - STL
Andrew Miller
News 
 Jose Alvarado has returned to the United States after leaving for two weeks for a family medical emergency.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Andrew Miller allowed the go-ahead run in the top of the eighth and fell to 1-2 in the Cardinals' 2-1 loss to the Pirates on Friday. He allowed three hits, one earned run, and struck out one in his lone inning of work.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 11th
 Jose Alvarado (personal), whose seven-day stint on the family medical emergency list ended Saturday, is likely to be moved to the restricted list, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
Andrew Miller got a two-out save Tuesday in the Cardinals' 3-2 win over the Nationals. He walked none and struck out one.
Elliott Baas
Wed, May 1st
 The Rays have placed Jose Alvarado on the family medical emergency list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Andrew Miller pitched a scoreless eighth inning and picked up the win in the Cardinals' 4-3 win over the Brewers on Tuesday. He allow no hits, no walks, and struck out two.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Apr 24th
 Jose Alvarado pitched a scoreless inning striking out two batters on Saturday as the Rays lost to the Twins by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
Andrew Miller allowed four runs (two earned) on two hits over 0.2 innings in the Cardinals' 6-4 loss to the Padres on Saturday. Miller walked two and struck out zero while falling to 0-1.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 7th
 Jose Alvarado posted one strikeout during a two-out save in a 6-3 victory against the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Andrew Miller gave up three earned runs in 0.2 innings pitched in the Cardinals' 4-4 tie with the Astros on Friday. Miller gave up two hits, one walk, and struck out one.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Mar 2nd
Notes 
 The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Some are under the impression that Miller was signed to close in St. Louis, but the Cardinals have made it clear that Miller will be a multi-inning middle of the game type of beast like we saw in his Cleveland days. Rather, Jordan Hicks or potentially even Carlos Martinez will close. Regardless, Miller should be able to pile up the Ks and keep his ratios down enough to warrant a late-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The Cardinals acquired Miller this offseason, but they appear unlikely to use him exclusively in the ninth inning. Still, Miller is the definition of the kind of dominant reliever who belongs on fantasy rosters in many leagues even if he isn't closing.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros