Who Should I Draft?

Jose Alvarado or Will Smith (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
32 of 55 experts
42%
Recommended by
23 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 65# 64
Best Rank# 34# 43
Worst Rank# 136# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 166# 297
Best Rank# 157# 166
Worst Rank# 195# 928
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7575
Wins33
Saves2724
ERA3.042.96
WHIP1.231.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertMiLB-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 75# 83
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 61# 68
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 75# 111
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 76# 95
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 79
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 62
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 63# 65
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 55# 89
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 43# 74
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 74# 86
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 62# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 73
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 64# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 68# 69
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 76
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 71
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 59# 80
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 73# 85
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 48# 84
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 56# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 66# 80
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 45# 87
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 54# 58
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 67
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 50# 53
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 83
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 92
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 65# 71
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 83
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 68# 84
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 50# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 49
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 69# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 70# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 71# 65
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 74# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 76# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 77# 69
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 82# 71
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 85# 66
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 87# 76
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 89# 63
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 90# 44
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 90# 78
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 91# 89
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 96# 57
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 97# 92
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 106# 101
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 108# 73
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 113# 89
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 121# 100
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 136# 102
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 74
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played7054
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched64.153.2
   
Wins12
   
Losses63
   
Saves814
   
Blown Saves44
   
Holds316
   
Hits Allowed4237
   
Earned Runs1715
   
Home Runs Allowed13
   
Strikeouts8071
   
Walks2915
   
ERA2.392.55
   
WHIP1.110.98
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6361
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched62.059.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses33
   
Saves2724
   
Blown Saves107
   
Holds74
   
Hits Allowed4746
   
Earned Runs2119
   
Home Runs Allowed45
   
Strikeouts7575
   
Walks2921
   
ERA3.042.96
   
WHIP1.231.13
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
News 
 Jose Alvarado has returned to the United States after leaving for two weeks for a family medical emergency.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Will Smith struck out two in a perfect ninth inning on Monday versus the Dodgers, preserving a 3-2 Giants win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 18th
 Jose Alvarado (personal), whose seven-day stint on the family medical emergency list ended Saturday, is likely to be moved to the restricted list, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
Will Smith gave up a solo homer in the ninth inning but settled down to secure the save as the Giants beat the Brewers 8-7 on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 The Rays have placed Jose Alvarado on the family medical emergency list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Will Smith struck out two in a perfect ninth to earn his 15th save of the year on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
 Jose Alvarado pitched a scoreless inning striking out two batters on Saturday as the Rays lost to the Twins by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
Will Smith struck out two in a perfect ninth inning on Friday versus the Dodgers, picking up his 14th save as the Giants won 2-1.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Jose Alvarado posted one strikeout during a two-out save in a 6-3 victory against the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Will Smith threw a perfect ninth inning in Thursday's 3-1 win over the Marlins to earn his 13th save of 2019.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Smith doesn't have much competition for saves at this point, but he hasn't exactly been the most durable reliever. More importantly, he will be a valuable trade chip mid-season as a lefty setup man, so take the saves while you can with Smith, but know they might not stick around all year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Smith and Mark Melancon will reportedly enter spring training as the top two candidates to serve as the Giants' closer in 2019. While Smith has clearly done far more to deserve the job, the Giants' desire to save face on Melancon's bloated $62 million contract may make him the slight favorite. After posting a strong 2.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in the role last season, Smith could be a very good fantasy closer if he's able to win the job.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros