Who Should I Draft?

Jose Alvarado or Will Smith (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
33 of 58 experts
43%
Recommended by
25 of 58 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 67# 68
Best Rank# 34# 43
Worst Rank# 136# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 166# 297
Best Rank# 157# 166
Worst Rank# 195# 928
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7575
Wins33
Saves2724
ERA3.042.96
WHIP1.231.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 75# 83
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 61# 68
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 75# 111
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 76# 95
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 55# 79
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 62
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 63# 65
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 55# 89
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 43# 74
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 74# 86
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 62# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 73
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 64# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 68# 69
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 76
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 71
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 59# 80
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 73# 85
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 48# 84
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 56# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 66# 80
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 45# 87
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 54# 58
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 67
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 50# 53
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 83
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 92
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 65# 71
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 83
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 67
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 68# 84
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 50# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 49
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 66# 65
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 69# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 70# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 71# 65
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 74# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 76# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 77# 69
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 83# 62
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 85# 66
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 87# 76
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 89# 63
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 90# 44
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 90# 78
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 91# 89
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 96# 57
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 97# 92
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 106# 101
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 108# 73
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 113# 89
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 121# 100
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 136# 102
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 74
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 90
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played7054
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched64.153.2
   
Wins12
   
Losses63
   
Saves814
   
Blown Saves44
   
Holds316
   
Hits Allowed4237
   
Earned Runs1715
   
Home Runs Allowed13
   
Strikeouts8071
   
Walks2915
   
ERA2.392.55
   
WHIP1.110.98
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6361
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched62.059.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses33
   
Saves2724
   
Blown Saves107
   
Holds74
   
Hits Allowed4746
   
Earned Runs2119
   
Home Runs Allowed45
   
Strikeouts7575
   
Walks2921
   
ERA3.042.96
   
WHIP1.231.13
   
  Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Will Smith
RP - SF
Will Smith
News 
 Jose Alvarado was placed on the 10-day injured list with left elbow inflammation after Saturday's loss at Baltimore, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 25th
Will Smith was unavailable for Tuesday's save chance versus the Pirates due to back inflammation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
 Jose Alvarado pitched the ninth inning on Sunday walking two batters and striking out one for the win as the Rays beat the Tigers by a 5-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 18th
Will Smith allowed a solo homer but held on to earn the save and protect the 5-4 win on Friday versus the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 7th
 The Rays activated Jose Alvarado (oblique) off the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 13th
Will Smith picked up his 30th save of the season on Sunday in Oakland, throwing a scoreless ninth as the Giants won 5-4.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 25th
 Jose Alvarado (oblique) could join the Rays during their current series against the Padres that lasts through Wednesday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 13th
Will Smith picked up the win on Friday in Arizona despite allowing two runs on three hits over 1 2/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 17th
 Jose Alvarado (oblique) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks after leaving Saturday‚Äôs game with an injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 8th
Will Smith secured the save on Saturday versus the Phillies, striking out two while throwing a scoreless ninth.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 11th
Notes 
 The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Smith doesn't have much competition for saves at this point, but he hasn't exactly been the most durable reliever. More importantly, he will be a valuable trade chip mid-season as a lefty setup man, so take the saves while you can with Smith, but know they might not stick around all year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Smith and Mark Melancon will reportedly enter spring training as the top two candidates to serve as the Giants' closer in 2019. While Smith has clearly done far more to deserve the job, the Giants' desire to save face on Melancon's bloated $62 million contract may make him the slight favorite. After posting a strong 2.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in the role last season, Smith could be a very good fantasy closer if he's able to win the job.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros