Who Should I Draft?

Jose Berrios or Aroldis Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
31 of 59 experts
47%
Recommended by
28 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 25
Best Rank# 14# 6
Worst Rank# 39# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 70# 73
Best Rank# 63# 66
Worst Rank# 81# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts92192
Wins313
Saves340
ERA2.633.90
WHIP1.091.23
   
Misc 
   
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RotoChamp
# 23# 45
   
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Beast Dome
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The Athletic
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CBS Sports
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CBS Sports
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Fantasy Team Advice
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Mr. Cheatsheet
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Expand The Boxscore
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Understanding Fantasy Baseball
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FantasyPros
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The Fake Baseball
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Bill Dubiel
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Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 39# 33
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played5532
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched51.0192.0
   
Wins312
   
Losses011
   
Saves320
   
Blown Saves20
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed24159
   
Earned Runs1482
   
Home Runs Allowed225
   
Strikeouts93202
   
Walks3061
   
ERA2.453.84
   
WHIP1.051.14
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5932
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched58.2189.5
   
Wins313
   
Losses210
   
Saves340
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed37171
   
Earned Runs1782
   
Home Runs Allowed524
   
Strikeouts92192
   
Walks2762
   
ERA2.633.90
   
WHIP1.091.23
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Aroldis Chapman was called upon to get the final two outs and earned a save in the win against the Tigers on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed just two runs over 7 1/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 17th
 Aroldis Chapman pitched one inning in relief to close out a 5-1 win against the Red Sox. In that inning he allowed one run on a solo home run by J.D Martinez.
Brandon Plutner
Sat, Sep 7th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-0 win over the Nationals on Tuesday. Berrios threw seven scoreless innings while striking out four and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 11th
 Aroldis Chapman pitched a scoreless ninth inning as the Yankees defeated the A’s 4-3.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Sep 1st
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios struggled in a 6-2 loss to the Red Sox on Wednesday. Berrios allowed six runs over five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
 Aroldis Chapman picked up the save against the Mariners on Monday, posting a pair of strikeouts without allowing a baserunner in a scoreless ninth inning to close out the Yankees' 5-4 victory.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 27th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 10-5 win over the White Sox on Thursday. Berrios allowed three runs over six innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 29th
 Aroldis Chapman pitched a scoreless ninth inning to preserve a 5-1 victory over the Dodgers.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Aug 25th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios cruised through the first five innings of a 9-6 loss to the Tigers on Friday. The sixth inning didn't go so well as he allowed five runs, punctuated by a grand slam off the bat of Ronny Rodriguez. Berrios wound up pitching 5 1/3 innings while striking out five.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Aug 24th
Notes 
 Aroldis Chapman was his typical dominant self last season and enters 2019 as the clear closer in the Bronx. This shapes up as arguably the best bullpen in baseball, however, so the Yankees will have no shortage of potential replacements should Chapman struggle or get hurt.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Chapman still delivers strikeouts in spades. Yet he has tossed just 50.1 and 51.1 innings over the last two seasons, capping the edge over pitchers like Brad Hand who worked 72 frames last year. He also struggled mightily with control, issuing 30 walks (5.26 BB/9) in 2018. Although one of baseball's few locked-in closers, there's a slimmer margin of error than the other top-tier arms with Dellin Betances and Adam Ottavino looking over his shoulder. Wait a little longer for a closer like Hand or Felipe Vazquez.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Chapman has been exceptional for nearly a decade now. It may surprise you to learn that he hasn't struck out 100 batters since 2015, though. Edwin Diaz, meanwhile, had 123 last year to go with 25 more saves than Aroldis. Chapman is obviously one of the top closers in baseball still, but doesn't deserve any consideration as a top 50 fantasy pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros