Who Should I Draft?

Jose Berrios or Aroldis Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 25# 24
Best Rank# 14# 6
Worst Rank# 39# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 70# 73
Best Rank# 63# 66
Worst Rank# 81# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts92192
Wins313
Saves340
ERA2.633.90
WHIP1.091.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
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RotoChamp
# 23# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 35
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 26# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 22# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 21# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 24# 32
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
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Expand The Boxscore
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Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
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Athlon Sports
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Paul Sporer
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# 29# 31
   
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Pitcher List
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Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 27# 28
   
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Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 38
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 30
   
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FantasyPros
# 19# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 28
   
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Freeze Stats
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The Fantasy Headliners
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SportsLine
# 26# 27
   
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Fake Teams
# 22# 24
   
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Sporfolio
# 25# 6
   
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Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 12
   
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The Athletic
# 34# 12
   
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RotoBaller
# 20# 14
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 21# 14
   
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Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 15
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 15
   
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Fake Teams
# 23# 16
   
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The Athletic
# 31# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 30# 18
   
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The Fake Baseball
# 23# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 31# 18
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 22# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 21
   
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Razzball
# 30# 21
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 30# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 22
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 30# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 23
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 25
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 33# 26
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 26
   
Andrew Gould
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# 29# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 34# 30
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 39# 33
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played5532
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched51.0192.0
   
Wins312
   
Losses011
   
Saves320
   
Blown Saves20
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed24159
   
Earned Runs1482
   
Home Runs Allowed225
   
Strikeouts93202
   
Walks3061
   
ERA2.453.84
   
WHIP1.051.14
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5932
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched58.2189.5
   
Wins313
   
Losses210
   
Saves340
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed37171
   
Earned Runs1782
   
Home Runs Allowed524
   
Strikeouts92192
   
Walks2762
   
ERA2.633.90
   
WHIP1.091.23
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Aroldis Chapman (1-1) gave up one run (no earned) on one hit and one walk while striking out one through one inning to take the win over the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
 Aroldis Chapman retired all three batters he faced in the ninth inning on Thursday to save the game for the Yankees as the beat the Blue Jays by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
 Aroldis Chapman gave up one hit and one walk in a scoreless ninth inning to secure the save in Saturday's win versus the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
 Aroldis Chapman struck out two batters during his 16th save of the season in a 4-1 victory against the Red Sox on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in an 11-4 win over the White Sox on Friday. Berrios allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings of work while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
 Aroldis Chapman allowed one hit but still recorded his 15th save of the year in a 5-2 victory against the Padres on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, May 28th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios struggled in his Saturday start against the Mariners. Berrios allowed four runs in 4 2/3 innings of work while striking out six. The Twins went on to beat Seattle 18-4.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 19th
Notes 
 Aroldis Chapman was his typical dominant self last season and enters 2019 as the clear closer in the Bronx. This shapes up as arguably the best bullpen in baseball, however, so the Yankees will have no shortage of potential replacements should Chapman struggle or get hurt.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Chapman still delivers strikeouts in spades. Yet he has tossed just 50.1 and 51.1 innings over the last two seasons, capping the edge over pitchers like Brad Hand who worked 72 frames last year. He also struggled mightily with control, issuing 30 walks (5.26 BB/9) in 2018. Although one of baseball's few locked-in closers, there's a slimmer margin of error than the other top-tier arms with Dellin Betances and Adam Ottavino looking over his shoulder. Wait a little longer for a closer like Hand or Felipe Vazquez.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Chapman has been exceptional for nearly a decade now. It may surprise you to learn that he hasn't struck out 100 batters since 2015, though. Edwin Diaz, meanwhile, had 123 last year to go with 25 more saves than Aroldis. Chapman is obviously one of the top closers in baseball still, but doesn't deserve any consideration as a top 50 fantasy pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros