Who Should I Draft?

Jose Berrios or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 26
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 47# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 68
Best Rank# 66# 55
Worst Rank# 79# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts192178
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.903.32
WHIP1.231.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 22# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 45
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 18# 19
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 23# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 31
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 14# 19
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 25# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 65
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 12# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 33
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 50
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 30# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 33
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 21# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 20# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 25# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 24# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 24
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 20# 12
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 23# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 24# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 22
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 26# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 27# 7
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 27# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 27# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 27
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 28# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 30# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 11
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 31# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 15
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 31# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 20
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 33# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 35# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 35# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 41# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 42# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 31
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched192.0191.2
   
Wins1219
   
Losses118
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159173
   
Earned Runs8272
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts202220
   
Walks6146
   
ERA3.843.39
   
WHIP1.141.14
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3227
   
Games Started3226
   
Innings Pitched189.5155.9
   
Wins1313
   
Losses106
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed171136
   
Earned Runs8258
   
Home Runs Allowed2419
   
Strikeouts192178
   
Walks6240
   
ERA3.903.32
   
WHIP1.231.13
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Jose Berrios was removed from Saturday's start versus the Royals in the eighth inning due to a blister on his right ring finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 22nd
Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed one run in eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Notes 
 Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros