Who Should I Draft?

Jose Berrios or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
30 of 59 experts
49%
Recommended by
29 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 25
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 65# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 73
Best Rank# 55# 66
Worst Rank# 121# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178192
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.323.90
WHIP1.131.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 16# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 45
   
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Razzball
# 22# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 23
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 35
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 32
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 25
   
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Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
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Pitcher List
# 34# 35
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 30
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 20
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 38
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 30
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 27
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 22
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 31
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 27
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 12
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 14
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 15
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 15
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 16
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 18
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 18
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 21
   
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Razzball
# 28# 21
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 23
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 33# 23
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 24
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 25
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 26
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 28
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 30
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched191.2192.0
   
Wins1912
   
Losses811
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173159
   
Earned Runs7282
   
Home Runs Allowed1925
   
Strikeouts220202
   
Walks4661
   
ERA3.393.84
   
WHIP1.141.14
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2732
   
Games Started2632
   
Innings Pitched155.9189.5
   
Wins1313
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136171
   
Earned Runs5882
   
Home Runs Allowed1924
   
Strikeouts178192
   
Walks4062
   
ERA3.323.90
   
WHIP1.131.23
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Luis Severino allowed two runs on a hit and four walks while striking out four over three innings, taking the loss against the Rangers on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 29th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in his final start of the regular season. Berrios allowed two runs in six innings in a 6-2 win over the Royals on Friday. He struck out nine and walked two.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 28th
 Luis Severino pitched four scoreless innings, struck out two and allowed only two hits as the Yankees defeated the Angels 8-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 17th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios struggled in a 12-5 loss to the Royals on Saturday. Berrios allowed five runs over six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is scheduled to make his 2019 debut on Tuesday against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 12th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed just two runs over 7 1/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 17th
 Luis Severino (lat) will throw 45-50 pitches over about three innings in his rehab appearance with Double-A Trenton on Friday, Greg Johnson of The Trentonian reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-0 win over the Nationals on Tuesday. Berrios threw seven scoreless innings while striking out four and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 11th
 Luis Severino (lat) gave up two runs on three hits while striking out two over one inning in his rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios struggled in a 6-2 loss to the Red Sox on Wednesday. Berrios allowed six runs over five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros