Who Should I Draft?

Jose Berrios or Roberto Osuna (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Expert
Recommendation
79%
Recommended by
44 of 56 experts
21%
Recommended by
12 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 29
Best Rank# 6# 19
Worst Rank# 47# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 77
Best Rank# 66# 69
Worst Rank# 79# 92
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts19267
Wins134
Saves036
ERA3.903.11
WHIP1.231.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 22# 25
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 21
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 18# 25
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 33# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 23# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 37
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 24
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 23# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 28
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 14# 42
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 31# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 27# 30
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 36
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 12# 42
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 34
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 34
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 32
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 36
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 30
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 53
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 27# 29
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 30# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 31
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 20# 34
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 28# 29
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 24# 25
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 30# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 22
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 21# 35
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 20# 25
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 27# 29
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 25# 29
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 24# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 37
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 26# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 32
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 25# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 24
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 31# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 35# 32
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 35# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 32
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 41# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 42# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 26
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3238
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched192.038.2
   
Wins122
   
Losses112
   
Saves021
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed15933
   
Earned Runs8210
   
Home Runs Allowed251
   
Strikeouts20232
   
Walks614
   
ERA3.842.37
   
WHIP1.140.97
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3262
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched189.562.4
   
Wins134
   
Losses103
   
Saves036
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed17153
   
Earned Runs8222
   
Home Runs Allowed247
   
Strikeouts19267
   
Walks6212
   
ERA3.903.11
   
WHIP1.231.04
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
News 
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed one run in eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
Roberto Osuna recorded one out on Sunday against Baltimore to pick up a save.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 10th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
Roberto Osuna allowed one run on one hit and one walk through 1 2/3 innings on Thursday against the Mariners. He blew a save in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Jun 6th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Friday against Oakland. He earned a save int he win.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 1st
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Tuesday against the Cubs to earn a save. He struck out one in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, May 29th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in an 11-4 win over the White Sox on Friday. Berrios allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings of work while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
Roberto Osuna allowed two runs on three hits and two strikeouts through one inning on Monday against the Cubs.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, May 28th
Notes 
 Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Astros manager A.J. Hinch has affirmed that Osuna will again serve as the team's closer, a role he inherited last year upon returning from a 75-game suspension and getting traded from the Blue Jays. Osuna was a dominant closer from 2015-2017, but his K/9 rate alarmingly fell to 7.58 between Toronto and Houston last year. The good news is that he maintained an above-average 14.7 percent swinging-strike rate, indicating that he should return to striking out over a batter per inning while maintaining elite control. Save opportunities should also be plentiful on the World Series-contending Astros, so it makes sense for Osuna to get drafted as one of the first 10, if not five, closers off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After serving a suspension for a domestic violence charge, Osuna got traded to the Astros and was closing within a month. Those still comfortable drafting the 24-year-old should expect his 21.3% strikeout rate to rise back to his career 28.4% clip. A smaller sample size isn't as trustworthy, but he also maintained a 14.7% swinging-strike rate during that time. While there's fear that Ryan Pressly and a deep Astros bullpen will give him competition, Ken Giles had to pitch his way out of the ninth inning. Osuna, who owns a career 2.78 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, shouldn't lose the job for any on-field reasons.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Osuna didn't accomplish much last year because of his legal issues and the time missed as a result, but he as still extremely efficient, driving a 2.37 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP. Assuming he stays on the field, you can bank on 30 saves and plenty of strikeouts on top of the strong ratios.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros