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Who Should I Draft?

Josh Bell or Dominic Smith (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
30 of 50 experts
40%
Recommended by
20 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 76# 86
Best Rank# 44# 44
Worst Rank# 122# 132
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 135# 123
Best Rank# 108# 114
Worst Rank# 147# 136
   
Projections 
   
Runs7968
Home Runs2823
RBI9177
Stolen Bases12
Batting Average.262.267
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 92# 111
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 58# 106
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 78# 88
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 59# 112
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 68
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 62# 103
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 66# 114
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 81# 88
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 78# 101
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 56# 89
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 71# 88
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 64# 90
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 80# 93
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 71# 112
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 76# 80
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 76# 102
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 71# 99
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 70# 72
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 64# 71
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 44# 81
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 79# 89
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 121
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 60# 120
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 64# 83
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 54# 107
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 79# 84
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 78# 132
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 81# 97
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 69# 92
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 52# 88
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 70# 64
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 74# 71
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 78# 76
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 79# 76
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 79# 68
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 80# 65
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 80# 68
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 85# 81
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 87# 73
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 87# 78
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 87# 49
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 91# 73
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 92# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 96# 44
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 101# 79
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 104# 57
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 105# 82
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 105# 97
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 121# 95
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 122# 85
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats195177
   
Runs2227
   
Hits4456
   
Singles3324
   
Doubles321
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs810
   
RBI2242
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2214
   
Strikeouts5945
   
Batting Average.226.316
   
On Base Pct.305.377
   
Slugging Pct.364.616
   
On-base Plus Slugging.669.993
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats514478
   
Runs7968
   
Hits133127
   
Singles7770
   
Doubles2631
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2823
   
RBI9177
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks6941
   
Strikeouts129128
   
Batting Average.262.267
   
On Base Pct.350.325
   
Slugging Pct.486.483
   
On-base Plus Slugging.836.808
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
News 
 The Nationals opening day roster includes Trea Turner but does not include Josh Bell, Kyle Schwarber, Josh Harrison, Yan Gomes, Alex Avila, Patrick Corbin, Jon Lester, or Brad Hand, according to MASN's Mark Zuckerman. The Nationals are currently dealing with a COVID outbreak, and these absences are all likely related to positive tests and close contact tracing.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Apr 6th
Dominic Smith went 1-4 with a home run, one run scored, two RBIs, and two strikeouts. Albert Amora replaced Smith after his final at-bat.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 7th
 Josh Bell and the Nationals avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $6.35 million deal.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 15th
Dominic Smith is absent from the Mets' lineup on Monday against the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 5th
  Mets 1B/OF Dominic Smith (wrist) played in a simulated game on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 20th
  Mets 1B/OF Dominic Smith (wrist) took batting practice on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 19th
  Dominic Smith (wrist) won't play until at least Sunday, according to manager Luis Rojas.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Mar 18th
Notes 
 Bell looked like a superstar in the making in the first half of 2019, but struggled for much of the second half of the season and then fell off a cliff in 2020. He slashed a mere .226/.305/.364 and hit only eight home runs. His strikeout and ground ball rates took massive jumps, while his walk rate and launch angle plummeted. Bell blamed his struggles on his swing getting long, and you could tell by how often he changed his stance and swing last year that he simply could not figure things out. Now with the Nationals, the 29-year-old Bell will have a chance to revive his career. We've seen the upside, so he's certainly worth drafting at a discount, but he's much more of a borderline corner infielder than a starting-caliber first baseman.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Smith showed he had the bat to hit in the majors in 2019, but he took an extra step forward in last year's shortened season. His .316/.377/.616 slash line effectively forced the Mets to find a way to get his bat into the lineup, even if his defense tried to prevent it. His Statcast data was excellent, as he put up a barrel percentage of 13.3% and a hard hit percentage of 46.7%, all with a .405 wOBA, which was in the top four percent of the league. The issue for Smith is his fielding and with the National League surprisingly not adopting the designated hitter, that means he'll need to play out in left field most days. Although the Mets can surely live with the tradeoff, Smith will likely lose plenty of at-bats late in games as he gets switched out for defensive purposes. He'll still have plenty of value, but without the DH, be cautious with your projections for his counting stats.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Was his first half 2019 performance a mirage? Bell has never even come close to matching that first half of a season during any other stretch in his career. He now gets a new home with a stronger lineup around him in Washington. If he can even come close to that breakout half, he will be a steal, otherwise, he will be a decent, albeit replaceable, 1B option.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Dom is a hitter. He has a pure swing and will be hitting in the middle of a potent lineup. He will likely sit a couple times a week and come out of games early for defensive reasons, which caps his potential, but there is till more than enough there to be a very useful fantasy piece.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Bell appeared to be enjoying a mid-career breakout two months into the 2019 season but pitchers suddenly stopped throwing him fastballs. The former first-round pick has had a difficult time adjusting back, and that two-month hot streak is beginning to look like an outlier performance. The book isn't closed on Bell being a productive regular, or even a difference-making fantasy asset, but I'm not holding out hope for a return to stardom. Expectations should be tempered.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros