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Who Should I Draft?

Josh Bell or Victor Robles (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Victor Robles
CF,RF - WSH
Victor Robles
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
24 of 25 experts
4%
Recommended by
1 of 25 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 84# 98
Best Rank# 54# 72
Worst Rank# 135# 146
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 132# 164
Best Rank# 113# 150
Worst Rank# 170# 221
   
Projections 
   
Runs8075
Home Runs2915
RBI9261
Stolen Bases123
Batting Average.264.247
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 98# 103
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 101# 106
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 135# 136
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 87# 135
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 72
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 90# 103
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 81# 108
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 63# 81
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 77# 102
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 86# 99
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 88# 99
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 85# 146
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 81# 101
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 104# 109
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 87# 96
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 66# 81
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 70# 97
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 63# 105
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 55# 76
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 102# 108
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 97# 117
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 110# 119
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 65# 76
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 87# 91
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 96# 92
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Victor Robles
CF,RF - WSH
Victor Robles
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats195168
   
Runs2220
   
Hits4437
   
Singles3328
   
Doubles35
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs83
   
RBI2215
   
Stolen Bases04
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks229
   
Strikeouts5953
   
Batting Average.226.220
   
On Base Pct.305.293
   
Slugging Pct.364.316
   
On-base Plus Slugging.669.608
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Victor Robles
CF,RF - WSH
Victor Robles
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats519536
   
Runs8075
   
Hits135131
   
Singles7786
   
Doubles2727
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs2915
   
RBI9261
   
Stolen Bases123
   
Caught Stealing17
   
Walks7037
   
Strikeouts131146
   
Batting Average.264.247
   
On Base Pct.348.293
   
Slugging Pct.487.394
   
On-base Plus Slugging.835.687
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Victor Robles
CF,RF - WSH
Victor Robles
News 
 Josh Bell and the Nationals avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $6.35 million deal.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 15th
Nationals center fielder Victor Robles (forearm) exits Wednesday's game against the Marlins after getting with a fastball and chatting with Dave Martinez and Paul Lessard. 
AJ Schullo
Wed, Mar 3rd
  Washington Nationals hitting coach Kevin Long said that it would be "huge" if outfielder Victor Robles could seize the leadoff spot this season. He also noted that Spring Training is important to the center fielder to solidify himself at the top of the order.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Mar 2nd
  Nationals manager Dave Martinez says OF Victor Robles lost weight and is back to where used to be.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Feb 19th
Notes 
 Bell looked like a superstar in the making in the first half of 2019, but struggled for much of the second half of the season and then fell off a cliff in 2020. He slashed a mere .226/.305/.364 and hit only eight home runs. His strikeout and ground ball rates took massive jumps, while his walk rate and launch angle plummeted. Bell blamed his struggles on his swing getting long, and you could tell by how often he changed his stance and swing last year that he simply could not figure things out. Now with the Nationals, the 29-year-old Bell will have a chance to revive his career. We've seen the upside, so he's certainly worth drafting at a discount, but he's much more of a borderline corner infielder than a starting-caliber first baseman.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There were plenty of warning signs with Robles' batted-ball data heading into 2020, and they're only greater now after an abysmal season during which he slashed .220/.293/.315. The MLB average in barrel rate and average exit velocity are 6.4% and 88.3 MPH, respectively. Robles clocked in at 4.8% and 83.3 MPH in 2019, and then fell to a ridiculous 1.7% and 82.2 MPH in 2020. His continously poor contact limits any upside, but it's worth noting that he still hit 17 homers and stole 28 bases in 2019 despite it all. Robles is still just entering his age-24 season, so massive long-term growth is still certainly on the table. But for now, it's impossible to justify drafting him as anything more than a fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 260 - 30 - 0
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
250 - 15 - 20
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 Bell appeared to be enjoying a mid-career breakout two months into the 2019 season but pitchers suddenly stopped throwing him fastballs. The former first-round pick has had a difficult time adjusting back, and that two-month hot streak is beginning to look like an outlier performance. The book isn't closed on Bell being a productive regular, or even a difference-making fantasy asset, but I'm not holding out hope for a return to stardom. Expectations should be tempered.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros