Who Should I Draft?
Josh Hader or Kenta Maeda (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN  | Josh Hader RP - MIL  | |
Expert |
64% Recommended by 32 of 50 experts |
36% Recommended by 18 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 16 | # 18 |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 12 |
| Worst Rank | # 36 | # 56 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 47 | # 54 |
| Best Rank | # 45 | # 51 |
| Worst Rank | # 61 | # 61 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 177 | 104 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Saves | 0 | 30 |
| ERA | 3.83 | 2.91 |
| WHIP | 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 17 | # 31 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 15 | # 16 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 17 | # 26 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 16 | # 22 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 15 | # 18 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 28 | # 37 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 17 | # 19 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 15 | # 24 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 15 | # 31 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 16 | # 20 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 16 | # 19 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 13 | # 17 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 14 | # 27 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 14 | # 21 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 16 | # 18 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 15 | # 56 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 15 | # 21 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 15 | # 21 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 15 | # 17 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 15 | # 28 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 16 | # 19 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 16 | # 19 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 13 | # 26 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 17 | # 19 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 10 | # 12 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 16 | # 19 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 15 | # 22 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 11 | # 23 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 16 | # 18 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 16 | # 19 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 15 | # 20 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 5 | # 18 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 23 | # 15 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 20 | # 16 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 17 | # 16 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 26 | # 16 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 22 | # 16 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 36 | # 16 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 21 | # 16 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 23 | # 17 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 19 | # 17 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 18 | # 17 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 22 | # 17 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 22 | # 17 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 22 | # 17 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 18 | # 17 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 33 | # 18 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 24 | # 19 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 20 | # 19 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 34 | # 20 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Josh Hader RP - MIL | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 11 | 21 |
| Games Started | 11 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 67.1 | 19.1 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Saves | 0 | 13 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 2 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 40 | 8 |
| Earned Runs | 20 | 8 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 9 | 3 |
| Strikeouts | 80 | 31 |
| Walks | 10 | 10 |
| ERA | 2.70 | 3.79 |
| WHIP | 0.75 | 0.95 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Josh Hader RP - MIL | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 30 | 62 |
| Games Started | 29 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 160.7 | 64.6 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 30 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 7 |
| Holds | 0 | 3 |
| Hits Allowed | 136 | 39 |
| Earned Runs | 68 | 21 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 23 | 9 |
| Strikeouts | 177 | 104 |
| Walks | 46 | 24 |
| ERA | 3.83 | 2.91 |
| WHIP | 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Josh Hader RP - MIL | |
| News | ||
| Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed seven runs over three innings of work in a 13-12 loss to Oakland on Wednesday. Maeda struck out just one and allowed eight hits, including three homers. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 21st | Josh Hader struck out two and allowed one hit and one walk in one inning against the Padres on Wednesday, earning the save. Connor Rooney Wed, Apr 21st | |
| Minnesota right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed three runs (one earned) over 4 1/3 innings of work in a 3-2 loss to the Red Sox in Game 1 of a Wednesday doubleheader. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 14th | Josh Hader walked one and struck out one to earn the save Monday against the Padres. Connor Rooney Tue, Apr 20th | |
| Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda threw six innings of two-run ball in a 3-2 win over the Tigers on Wednesday. Maeda struck out six and walked one in the win. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 7th | Josh Hader struck out two in a spotless inning Sunday against the Pirates. Connor Rooney Sun, Apr 18th | |
| Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda turned in a solid effort in a 6-5 loss to the Brewers on Opening Day. Maeda allowed two runs (one earned) over 4 1/3 innings of work while striking out five and walking two. He did not factor into the decision. Matthew Terelle Thu, Apr 1st | Josh Hader recorded his first save of the season after a scoreless outing Monday against the Cubs. He recorded a strikeout in two-thirds of an inning. Connor Rooney Tue, Apr 13th | |
| Josh Hader (2-0) walked one and struck out two over one inning to earn the extra-inning win over the Cubs Wednesday. Connor Rooney Wed, Apr 7th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Hader wasn't quite as dominant as he had been the previous two years, largely due to a spike in walk rate and the slightest of declines in strikeout rate. But he still tallied 13 saves, third-best in baseball, and had a miniscule 0.95 WHIP. If you parse it closely, it was just a bizarre season for Hader, who didn't give up a run through his first nine appearances, but subsequently allowed four runs in an inning. He walked five batters in a game, but didn't allow a single walk in any game after that, a span of 11 appearances. In other words, there seems to be a lot of noise in Hader's "decline," which likely would have been ironed out over the course of a full season. Draft him as the top closer off the board with few concerns. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
