Who Should I Draft?
Josh Hader or Lance Lynn (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Lance Lynn SP - CWS  | Josh Hader RP - MIL  | |
Expert |
54% Recommended by 27 of 50 experts |
46% Recommended by 23 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 17 | # 18 |
| Best Rank | # 12 | # 12 |
| Worst Rank | # 38 | # 56 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 52 | # 54 |
| Best Rank | # 43 | # 51 |
| Worst Rank | # 65 | # 61 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 198 | 104 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Saves | 0 | 30 |
| ERA | 3.95 | 2.91 |
| WHIP | 1.22 | 0.98 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 18 | # 31 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 14 | # 26 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 16 | # 18 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 20 | # 37 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 17 | # 20 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 16 | # 24 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 12 | # 31 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 17 | # 20 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 18 | # 19 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 17 | # 19 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 18 | # 27 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 15 | # 21 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 17 | # 18 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 12 | # 56 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 16 | # 21 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 16 | # 17 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 18 | # 28 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 17 | # 19 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 17 | # 19 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 20 | # 26 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 18 | # 19 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 15 | # 19 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 17 | # 22 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 15 | # 23 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 17 | # 18 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 17 | # 19 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 15 | # 17 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 26 | # 12 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 19 | # 15 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 21 | # 16 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 18 | # 16 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 18 | # 16 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 30 | # 16 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 24 | # 16 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 18 | # 16 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 17 | # 16 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 18 | # 17 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 20 | # 17 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 19 | # 17 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 18 | # 17 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 20 | # 17 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 28 | # 17 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 20 | # 17 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 28 | # 18 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 23 | # 18 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 25 | # 19 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 38 | # 19 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 21 | # 20 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 23 | # 21 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 24 | # 22 |
| Lance Lynn SP - CWS | Josh Hader RP - MIL | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 13 | 21 |
| Games Started | 13 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 84.0 | 19.1 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Saves | 0 | 13 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 2 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 64 | 8 |
| Earned Runs | 31 | 8 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 13 | 3 |
| Strikeouts | 89 | 31 |
| Walks | 25 | 10 |
| ERA | 3.32 | 3.79 |
| WHIP | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Lance Lynn SP - CWS | Josh Hader RP - MIL | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 30 | 62 |
| Games Started | 30 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 184.1 | 64.6 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 30 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 7 |
| Holds | 0 | 3 |
| Hits Allowed | 167 | 39 |
| Earned Runs | 81 | 21 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 27 | 9 |
| Strikeouts | 198 | 104 |
| Walks | 57 | 24 |
| ERA | 3.95 | 2.91 |
| WHIP | 1.22 | 0.98 |
| Lance Lynn SP - CWS | Josh Hader RP - MIL | |
| News | ||
| Lance Lynn (1-0) tossed a complete game shutout while striking out 11 in Thursday’s 6-0 win over the Royals. He picked up his first win of the season. Brad Camara Fri, Apr 9th | Josh Hader recorded his first save of the season after a scoreless outing Monday against the Cubs. He recorded a strikeout in two-thirds of an inning. Connor Rooney Tue, Apr 13th | |
| Lance Lynn allowed two unearned runs and two walks while striking out six across four 2/3 innings during Saturday’s 5-3 loss to the Angels. He didn’t factor into the decison. Brad Camara Sun, Apr 4th | Josh Hader (2-0) walked one and struck out two over one inning to earn the extra-inning win over the Cubs Wednesday. Connor Rooney Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Josh Hader earned the win against the Twins on Thursday, striking out all three batters he faced. Connor Rooney Thu, Apr 1st | ||
| Brewers reliever Josh Hader will work as a traditional closer in 2021, according to Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell on Tuesday. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Tue, Mar 23rd | ||
| Josh Hader's name continues to come up in trade inquiries and the Brewers are "listening," according to Robert Murray of Fansided. Jon Mathisen Tue, Jan 26th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Hader wasn't quite as dominant as he had been the previous two years, largely due to a spike in walk rate and the slightest of declines in strikeout rate. But he still tallied 13 saves, third-best in baseball, and had a miniscule 0.95 WHIP. If you parse it closely, it was just a bizarre season for Hader, who didn't give up a run through his first nine appearances, but subsequently allowed four runs in an inning. He walked five batters in a game, but didn't allow a single walk in any game after that, a span of 11 appearances. In other words, there seems to be a lot of noise in Hader's "decline," which likely would have been ironed out over the course of a full season. Draft him as the top closer off the board with few concerns. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
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