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Who Should I Draft?

J.T. Realmuto or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
35 of 55 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 55# 57
Best Rank# 13# 34
Worst Rank# 128# 130
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 48# 52
Best Rank# 39# 43
Worst Rank# 52# 65
   
Projections 
   
Runs76
Home Runs2327
RBI79
Stolen Bases7
Batting Avg.270
Strikeouts120198
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.95
WHIP1.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 81
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 68
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 49# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 59
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 59
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 89# 130
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 66# 76
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 72# 113
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 48# 62
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 48# 72
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 51# 58
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 51# 53
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 51# 63
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 52# 57
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 38# 90
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 50# 60
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 53# 55
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 52# 65
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 69
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 84
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 52
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 54
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 45# 88
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 61# 72
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 58
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 52# 55
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 51# 58
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 45# 47
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 61# 65
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 52# 54
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 54
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 51# 74
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 43# 68
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 62# 88
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 46# 34
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 48# 44
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 49# 47
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 50# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 52
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 57# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 58# 57
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 58# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 58# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 60# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 71# 69
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 75# 45
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 81# 59
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 84# 62
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 85# 53
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 102# 64
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 110# 47
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 128# 81
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs1113
   
RBI32
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts4889
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs76
   
Home Runs2327
   
RBI79
   
Stolen Bases7
   
Batting Avg.270
   
Strikeouts120198
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.95
   
WHIP1.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 3-for-5 with a home run, two RBI, a walk, and two runs scored in Friday's win over the Braves. The homer was his fourth of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, May 8th
Lance Lynn (3-1) allowed one hit and four walks while striking out six across five scoreless innings in Saturday’s 9-1 win over the Royals. He picked up his third win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 9th
 J.T. Realmuto hit an absolute moonshot of a two run homer on Monday off of Adrian Houser. He finished 1-for-4 on the day with two RBIs.
Liam Gibney
Tue, May 4th
Lance Lynn (2-1) allowed three runs on four hits and two walks while striking out two across five innings during Saturday’s 7-3 win over Cleveland. He picked up his second win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, May 1st
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto has been scratched from Friday's lineup against the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 30th
The White Sox activated RHP Lance Lynn (trapezius) from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 1st
 J.T. Realmuto went 2-for-3 with a RBI double and a walk during Thursday's extra-inning loss in St. Louis.
Andy Zimmerman
Thu, Apr 29th
RHP Lance Lynn, who's on the injured list with a right trapezius strain, is scheduled to start on Saturday vs. the Cleveland Indians.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 27th
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 3-for-4 with a triple, a stolen base, and a run scored in Friday's loss to the Rockies. The steal was his second of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Apr 24th
White Sox RHP Lance Lynn (trapezius) thinks he'll return to the team's rotation by next weekend.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Realmuto fractured the thumb on his throwing hand in mid-February, and is iffy for Opening Day. He is in a tier to himself among catchers when healthy, putting up consistently excellent numbers in what is the thinnest of positions. He had the highest barrel rate and hard hit percentage of his career in 2020, and also walked at a career-best pace. Realmuto is in his age-30 season, so that's getting near the point where catchers begin to decline. But given that he's shown no real slippage in his skills to this point, his numbers shouldn't fall off much in 2021, assuming he has no setbacks and returns on or around Opening Day. Back with Philadelphia now and for several years after signing a five-year contract, Realmuto is the only catcher worth drafting before the sixth or seventh round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Never be the first team to draft a catcher, words to live by.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy