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Who Should I Draft?

Juan Soto or Christian Yelich (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
48 of 50 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 7
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 7# 12
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 4# 12
Best Rank# 3# 9
Worst Rank# 6# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs111103
Home Runs3836
RBI11293
Stolen Bases1318
Batting Average.305.283
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 3# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 2# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 2# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 6
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 7
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 8
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 2# 7
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 2# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 8
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 5
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 8
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 6
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 1# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 2# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 6
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 3# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 3# 10
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 10
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 4# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 4# 8
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 2# 10
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 1# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 2# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats154200
   
Runs3939
   
Hits5441
   
Singles2721
   
Doubles147
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1312
   
RBI3722
   
Stolen Bases64
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4146
   
Strikeouts2876
   
Batting Average.351.205
   
On Base Pct.490.356
   
Slugging Pct.695.430
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.185.786
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats534549
   
Runs111103
   
Hits161153
   
Singles8685
   
Doubles3429
   
Triples33
   
Home Runs3836
   
RBI11293
   
Stolen Bases1318
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks10990
   
Strikeouts119154
   
Batting Average.305.283
   
On Base Pct.424.385
   
Slugging Pct.586.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.011.922
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
News 
 Since returning from the injured list, Juan Soto pinch-hit in back-to-back games. He went 0-for-1 on Wednesday.
Corbin Young
Wed, May 5th
After returning from the IL on Monday, Christian Yelich is set to spend at least another 10 days on there. Manager Craig Counsell said "there's something else we haven't diagnosed," meaning this could be a longer absence than just the 10 days.
Ethan Biddle
Tue, May 4th
 Recovered from a strained left shoulder, the Nationals reinstated Juan Soto to the active roster Tuesday.
Andy Zimmerman
Tue, May 4th
Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 in Monday's loss to the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Tue, May 4th
 Juan Soto threw "a little bit" on Thursday and is slated to do more in the field Friday, according to Nationals manager Dave Martinez.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Apr 30th
Brewers star OF Christian Yelich (back) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Monday.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 3rd
 Washington Nationals outfielder Juan Soto, who's on the injured list with a shoulder strain, took batting practice at the team's alternate site on Tuesday in Fredericksburg, VA.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 27th
Brewers OF Christian Yelich (back) is playing in a simulated game on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
 Nationals outfielder Juan Soto was placed on the 10-day injured list with a left shoulder strain on Tuesday, but the injury does not appear to be overly serious, based on a report from MASN's Mark Zuckerman.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Apr 20th
Brewers OF Christian Yelich (back) resumed hitting in the cage on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 28th
Notes 
 There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There isn't a single negative thing to say about the second coming of Ted Williams. Soto get even better last year, his age-21 season, and wound up leading baseball in OBP. The fact that he was limited to 47 games wound up costing him NL MVP honors, as Soto was the best hitter in baseball on a per-game basis in 2020. The floor here is so high. Soto isn't a zero in stolen bases either. He swiped 12 in 2019 and six last summer.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros