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Who Should I Draft?

Juan Soto or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
12 of 20 experts
40%
Recommended by
8 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 4
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 8# 9
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 3# 4
Best Rank# 2# 3
Worst Rank# 4# 5
   
Projections 
   
Runs110112
Home Runs3638
RBI98113
Stolen Bases2613
Batting Average.286.306
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 6
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 3# 4
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 5
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 3
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 5
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 3# 5
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 3
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 1# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 1
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 2
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 2
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 2
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 3
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 8# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats224154
   
Runs5039
   
Hits6254
   
Singles3227
   
Doubles1114
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs1713
   
RBI4537
   
Stolen Bases116
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks2741
   
Strikeouts6128
   
Batting Average.277.351
   
On Base Pct.366.490
   
Slugging Pct.571.695
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9371.185
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats576539
   
Runs110112
   
Hits163162
   
Singles9288
   
Doubles2934
   
Triples63
   
Home Runs3638
   
RBI98113
   
Stolen Bases2613
   
Caught Stealing84
   
Walks62111
   
Strikeouts165118
   
Batting Average.286.306
   
On Base Pct.352.420
   
Slugging Pct.543.585
   
On-base Plus Slugging.8951.005
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
News 
 Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports the Padres and star SS Fernando Tatis Jr. have agreed to a 14-year, $340 million contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 17th
Nationals OF Juan Soto spent the offseason working on his agility and wants to “steal more bases.”
Brad Camara
Thu, Feb 18th
 The Padres are working on a contract extension with star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. According to Jon Heyman and Jessica Kleinschmidt, Tatis' contract extension could be 11 years and $320 million.
Corbin Young
Sun, Jan 10th
Juan Soto agreed to a one-year, $8.5 million deal with the Nationals to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
There isn't a single negative thing to say about the second coming of Ted Williams. Soto get even better last year, his age-21 season, and wound up leading baseball in OBP. The fact that he was limited to 47 games wound up costing him NL MVP honors, as Soto was the best hitter in baseball on a per-game basis in 2020. The floor here is so high. Soto isn't a zero in stolen bases either. He swiped 12 in 2019 and six last summer.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros