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Who Should I Draft?

Juan Soto or Mike Trout (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
38 of 51 experts
25%
Recommended by
13 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 5
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 7# 10
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 4# 5
Best Rank# 3# 3
Worst Rank# 6# 6
   
Projections 
   
Runs111111
Home Runs3843
RBI112109
Stolen Bases1311
Batting Average.305.291
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 3# 5
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 5
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 6
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 5
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 2# 6
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 2# 6
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 7
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 3
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 5
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 5
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 5
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 2# 5
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 4
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 5
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 5
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 1# 5
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 2# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 4# 5
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 4# 5
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 2# 5
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 1# 5
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 2# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 2# 1
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 3# 2
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 3# 2
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 3# 2
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 3
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 1
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 4
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 5# 3
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 4
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 3
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 3
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 2
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 4
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats154199
   
Runs3941
   
Hits5456
   
Singles2728
   
Doubles149
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs1317
   
RBI3746
   
Stolen Bases61
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks4135
   
Strikeouts2856
   
Batting Average.351.281
   
On Base Pct.490.390
   
Slugging Pct.695.603
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.185.993
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats534520
   
Runs111111
   
Hits161149
   
Singles8674
   
Doubles3427
   
Triples34
   
Home Runs3843
   
RBI112109
   
Stolen Bases1311
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks109111
   
Strikeouts119141
   
Batting Average.305.291
   
On Base Pct.424.418
   
Slugging Pct.586.602
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.0111.020
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
News 
 Juan Soto walked twice in their loss to the Reds. Soto went 1-for-3 with one run scored.
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 26th
Angels manager Joe Maddon conceded that Mike Trout is unlikely to return this season.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
 Juan Soto walked four times and scored three runs. Soto went hitless in two at-bats with one strikeout as well.
Corbin Young
Sat, Sep 25th
Angels manager Joe Maddon says that there's no update on when or if Mike Trout (calf) will return this season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 8th
 Juan Soto hits his 28th home run and recorded his second game in a row with a homer. Soto went 3-for-3 with two runs scored, two RBI, and one walk.
Corbin Young
Thu, Sep 23rd
Angels manager Joe Maddon says OF Mike Trout (calf" is still "sore."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 30th
 Juan Soto crushed his 27th home run of the season with his 20th double. Soto went 3-for-3 with two runs scored, three RBI, and two walks.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 22nd
Angels' CF Mike Trout is still not recovered enough to begin a rehab stint, according to skipper Joe Maddon.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
 Juan Soto drove in his 87th RBI of the season after going 2-for-4 with one walk and one strikeout. Soto also crushed his 19th double of the season with a 112.8 mph exit velocity.
Corbin Young
Tue, Sep 21st
Angels OF Mike Trout (calf) says he's close to beginning a minor league rehab assignment.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 21st
Notes 
 There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
For one of the first times since he took the league by storm, Trout is not the consensus top pick this year. It's hardly his fault, though it's fair to point out some of the negatives with his 2020 season. He batted a career-low .281, and posted his worst walk- and strikeout-rates since 2015. He also stole only one base. But Trout's move down the overall baseball rankings is due more to his competition for the top spot, rather than his numbers. He was still among the league leaders in quality of contact and every expected statcast metric, and was on pace to hit 50 home runs over the course of a full season. Trout is entering his age-30 season, so although we've seen him rebound from poor stolen base years before, it now seems unlikely that he'll ever get back to much past low-double digits. That keeps him out of the top spot in rotisserie rankings, but his incredibly high floor makes him a top-five overall draft pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There isn't a single negative thing to say about the second coming of Ted Williams. Soto get even better last year, his age-21 season, and wound up leading baseball in OBP. The fact that he was limited to 47 games wound up costing him NL MVP honors, as Soto was the best hitter in baseball on a per-game basis in 2020. The floor here is so high. Soto isn't a zero in stolen bases either. He swiped 12 in 2019 and six last summer.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
You won't find a safer first-round investment in all of fantasy baseball. However, entering Trout's age-29 season, it's now fair to consider several others worthy of the No. 1 overall pick come draft day. The biggest argument against Trout is a lack of stolen base upside. Trout swiped just one bag during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. Still, the well-rounded power and on-base skills aren't going anywhere just yet.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros