Who Should I Draft?

Justin Upton or Matt Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
43 of 59 experts
27%
Recommended by
16 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 60# 64
Best Rank# 33# 29
Worst Rank# 121# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 94# 103
Best Rank# 77# 86
Worst Rank# 132# 111
   
Projections 
   
Runs8290
Home Runs2927
RBI8882
Stolen Bases83
Batting Average.253.257
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 73# 82
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 65
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 65# 70
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 43# 73
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 55# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 61# 103
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 56# 74
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 62
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 65# 69
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 49# 73
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 40# 86
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 56# 77
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 77
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 62# 68
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 64# 67
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 51# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 55# 68
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 42# 65
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 71# 84
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 65
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 54# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 61# 65
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 46# 73
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 38# 60
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 35# 56
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 62# 71
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 48# 69
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 53# 61
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 73
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 64
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 60# 80
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 43# 65
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 44# 63
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 55# 66
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 69
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 46# 69
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 73# 77
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 63# 67
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 66# 117
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 48# 55
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 55# 73
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 48
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 46# 29
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 58# 44
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 61# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 67# 64
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 64
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 72# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 77# 55
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 53
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 87# 63
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 95# 68
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 96# 57
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 106# 50
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 108# 87
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 118# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 121# 59
   
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats533547
   
Runs80100
   
Hits137152
   
Singles8880
   
Doubles1842
   
Triples16
   
Home Runs3024
   
RBI8568
   
Stolen Bases81
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6458
   
Strikeouts176146
   
Batting Average.257.278
   
On Base Pct.344.356
   
Slugging Pct.463.508
   
On-base Plus Slugging.808.864
   
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats535558
   
Runs8290
   
Hits135144
   
Singles8075
   
Doubles2536
   
Triples15
   
Home Runs2927
   
RBI8882
   
Stolen Bases83
   
Caught Stealing33
   
Walks6359
   
Strikeouts171157
   
Batting Average.253.257
   
On Base Pct.332.328
   
Slugging Pct.469.487
   
On-base Plus Slugging.802.816
   
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
News 
 Justin Upton (knee) received a PRP injection Friday and will be on crutches for two or three weeks.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 22nd
Matt Chapman went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk in Thursday's 3-1 win over the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 27th
 Justin Upton (knee) will not play again this season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
Matt Chapman went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Angels.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 26th
 Justin Upton underwent an MRI on his right knee Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
Matt Chapman went 0-for-3 with two walks and two runs scored in Friday's 8-0 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
 Justin Upton went 0-for-2 with a walk in Tuesday's 8-0 loss to the Indians.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 11th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Sunday's 6-1 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 16th
 Justin Upton went 2-for-4 with a double and three RBI in Thursday's 10-6 loss to the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Saturday's 8-6 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Notes 
 Erratic over the course of a season, Upton is consistent on a year-to-year basis. Even if he never lived out Ken Griffey Jr. comparisons, the outfielder has logged over 600 plate appearances in each of the last eight seasons with at least 30 homers in the last three. A rise in ground balls and fall in fly balls, however, puts that streak in jeopardy. So does a toe injury that will likely send him to the IL to start 2019. That's a big blow since stability was a major driving force in drafting Upton.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
While it may be appealing to draft incredible real-life players, there is a major difference between fringe AL MVP candidate and top 80 fantasy baseball player. Chapman's defensive prowess doesn't transfer over, unfortunately, so rather, we are looking at a mediocre power hitter with some batting average concerns.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Upton is the definition of a boring-but-reliable fantasy producer, with six straight seasons of at least 26 HRs, eight stolen bases, solid run production, and a middling batting average. In a good year, he might hit 35 HRs, bat .280, or swipe 20 bags, but the safe expectation is that he will go around .250-30-10, which is still quite useful in fantasy leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Chapman didn't hit quite as many homers in 2018 as fantasy owners may have hoped, after displaying 30-HR power in the minors. But he made up for it with much lower strikeout rate than he had in the minors, riding that and a .338 BABIP to a .278 batting average and even 100 runs scored. The high BABIP all but ensures that Chapman's batting average will fall in 2019, but if he's able to keep the strikeouts in check he could be more of a .260 hitter than a .240 one. He also still has clear 30 HR potential if he can just elevate the ball more -- his 40.3 percent ground ball rate last year was much higher than he ever had in the minors.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Upton is one of the only players with at least 30 homers in each of the last three seasons. You can also bank on 80+ RBIs and runs, and while his stolen bases have come down over the years, 10 is a good bet once again. Upton's batting average won't help you, but it should be enough to warrant a sixth round pick in standard leagues.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Although he underwent offseason surgery, Chapman is expected to be ready by Oakland's season opener in Tokyo on March 20. Fantasy investors don't reap the rewards of his Gold Glove at third, and typical five-by-five gamers didn't fully benefit from his 42 doubles. Yet those strengths led to a steadfast starting role and 100 runs scored. Having towered as many as 36 homers in a minor league season, he could expand upon last season's 23. He also make quiet contact gains to support his .278 batting average, so even if Chapman doesn't take another step further, he also won't regress as much as most projections expect.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros