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Who Should I Draft?

Justin Verlander or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
30 of 55 experts
45%
Recommended by
25 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 18
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 73# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 19
Best Rank# 13# 14
Worst Rank# 19# 34
   
Projections 
   
Runs34
Home Runs1110
RBI28
Stolen Bases8
Batting Avg.281
Strikeouts8862
Wins6
Saves0
ERA3.27
WHIP1.01
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 13# 22
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 19
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 16# 29
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 20
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 7# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 20
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 20
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 13# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 24
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 31
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 32
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 23
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 23
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 15# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 22# 25
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 14# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 15# 25
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 15
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 18# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 15
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 18
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 22# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 11
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 25# 20
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 22
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 27# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 30# 17
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 18
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 35# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 70# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 73# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs61
   
Home Runs3622
   
RBI53
   
Stolen Bases16
   
Batting Avg.317
   
Strikeouts300110
   
Wins21
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.62
   
WHIP0.81
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs1110
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.281
   
Strikeouts8862
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.27
   
WHIP1.01
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 Justin Verlander underwent Tommy John surgery on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 1st
Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
 Justin Verlander (forearm) will require Tommy John surgery.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 19th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
 Justin Verlander (forearm) threw about 75 pitches in a sim game on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 16th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
 Justin Verlander (forearm) is expected to throw 3-4 innings in a simulated game on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 15th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
 Astros manager Dusty Baker says Justin Verlander (forearm) could face hitters during his next throwing session.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 14th
Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Notes 
 Verlander is one of the players who benefit most from a delayed season, as he was dealing with injuries that would have shelved him the first couple months of the season. He showed no sign of slowing down last year, but the age and Spring Training injuries should give you some pause. Drafting Verlander is all about your comfort with taking on injury risks and age.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Entering his age-37 season. Appears good to go following spring groin injury
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Verlander had groin surgery which will sideline him for several weeks. But given the postponement of the season, it seems unlikely to threaten Verlander's availability for Opening Day, whenever that may be. Although surgery is never a good sign, in the end, it's better for Verlander that he could get this out of the way now rather than have it linger. For now, keep him high on your draft boards.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
.410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 A Top 15 pick that I has to drop due to his Spring Training injury. It adds enough risk to go in another direction. You can't miss in the early rounds and while it appears he will be fine and back relatively early in the season, let someone else make that assumption that turns out to be wrong. If he falls into the mid-20's or later, then he becomes a bargain.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData