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Who Should I Draft?

Kenley Jansen or Chris Paddack (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
35 of 50 experts
30%
Recommended by
15 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 41
Best Rank# 17# 22
Worst Rank# 67# 68
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 97# 111
Best Rank# 89# 98
Worst Rank# 116# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14674
Wins104
Saves030
ERA3.893.74
WHIP1.131.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 41# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 35# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 55
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 37# 41
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 34# 44
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 46
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 41# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 42
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 50
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 36# 42
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 44# 68
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 63
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 35# 38
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 36# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 43# 53
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 46
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 30# 44
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 39# 41
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 53
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 27# 39
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 32# 50
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 34# 43
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 30# 49
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 32# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 22
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 51# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 39# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 34# 27
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 67# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 43# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 38
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 43# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 62# 42
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 44# 43
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 50# 47
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1227
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched59.224.0
   
Wins43
   
Losses51
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6018
   
Earned Runs318
   
Home Runs Allowed142
   
Strikeouts5833
   
Walks129
   
ERA4.732.96
   
WHIP1.221.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2663
   
Games Started260
   
Innings Pitched139.460.9
   
Wins104
   
Losses73
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves010
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed12752
   
Earned Runs6025
   
Home Runs Allowed229
   
Strikeouts14674
   
Walks3117
   
ERA3.893.74
   
WHIP1.131.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
News 
 Chris Paddack gave up 3 earned runs in 4 innings of work in the Padres' win over the Rangers on Saturday. Paddack struck out 3 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 11th
RHP Kenley Jansen struggled with his control on Wednesday, blowing a save by allowing one run on one hit with a pair of walks in the Dodgers 3-4 loss in extra-innings to the A's.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 8th
 Chris Paddack gave up 2 earned runs in 4 innings pitched against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Paddack walked 3 and struck out 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 4th
Kenley Jansen picked up his first save of the season on Saturday when he struck out one and walked one over 1 2/3 innings in the Dodgers 6-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 4th
 Padres RHP Chris Paddack says he worked on the spin rate and spin efficiency of his fastball this offseason.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 21st
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says Kenley Jansen will open the season as the team's closer.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 18th
Notes 
 Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
It feels like Jansen has been on the verge of losing his job at several points over the last two seasons, but he continues to receive nearly every save opportunity for the Dodgers. But Jansen is far from the dominant reliever he was in his prime, as his patented cutter has gone from 94 MPH in 2016 to just 90.9 MPH last year. The Dodgers have plenty of depth behind Jansen, including Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol, Joe Kelly, and Corey Knebel, so Jansen's leash probably won't be all that long. At the same time, Jansen will certainly be the closer coming into the season and has a lengthy track record and a large contract. In today's day and age, that makes him a fairly desirable fantasy closer, despite the concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros