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Who Should I Draft?

Kenley Jansen or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Expert
Recommendation
94%
Recommended by
48 of 51 experts
6%
Recommended by
3 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 42
Best Rank# 14# 22
Worst Rank# 46# 68
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 111
Best Rank# 51# 98
Worst Rank# 60# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17474
Wins94
Saves030
ERA3.633.74
WHIP1.201.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 52
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 39
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 41
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 46
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 56
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 42
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 46
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 42
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 68
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 63
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 38
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 41
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 53
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 46
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 44
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 41
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 53
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 42
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 27
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 50
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 43
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 27
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 49
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 41
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 35
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1227
   
Games Started90
   
Innings Pitched60.324.0
   
Wins43
   
Losses11
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3718
   
Earned Runs148
   
Home Runs Allowed22
   
Strikeouts8833
   
Walks249
   
ERA2.112.96
   
WHIP1.021.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2963
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched142.160.9
   
Wins94
   
Losses73
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves010
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed12052
   
Earned Runs5725
   
Home Runs Allowed189
   
Strikeouts17474
   
Walks5117
   
ERA3.633.74
   
WHIP1.201.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
News 
 Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
RHP Kenley Jansen earned the win on Tuesday when he walked two and struck out one over a scoreless ninth inning in a tie ball game before the Dodgers took down the Rockies 5-4 in extra innings.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
RHP Kenley Jansen earned the save on Wednesday when he punched out three batters over a scoreless ninth inning in the Dodgers' 5-3 win over the D-Backs.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 16th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Kenley Jansen locked it down in the ninth on Saturday, not allowing a single base runner while striking out one batter.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Kenley Jansen allowed one hit in the ninth, but escaped the inning and earned his 31st save of the year.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
RHP Kenley Jansen earned his 30th save of the season on Tuesday when he worked a scoreless ninth inning while punching out two batters in the Dodgers' 3-2 win over the Braves.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
It feels like Jansen has been on the verge of losing his job at several points over the last two seasons, but he continues to receive nearly every save opportunity for the Dodgers. But Jansen is far from the dominant reliever he was in his prime, as his patented cutter has gone from 94 MPH in 2016 to just 90.9 MPH last year. The Dodgers have plenty of depth behind Jansen, including Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol, Joe Kelly, and Corey Knebel, so Jansen's leash probably won't be all that long. At the same time, Jansen will certainly be the closer coming into the season and has a lengthy track record and a large contract. In today's day and age, that makes him a fairly desirable fantasy closer, despite the concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros