Who Should I Draft?

Kenley Jansen or Jose Berrios (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 22# 24
Best Rank# 10# 6
Worst Rank# 33# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 71# 73
Best Rank# 55# 66
Worst Rank# 77# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts83192
Wins313
Saves380
ERA2.883.90
WHIP1.001.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 18# 33
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 20# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 45
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 21# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 35
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 23# 31
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 23# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 18# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 24# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 20# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 23
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 21# 41
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 23# 27
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 22# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 35
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 26# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 38
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 19# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 14# 20
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 23# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 24# 25
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 17# 24
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 22# 12
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 22# 6
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 23# 14
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 23# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 24# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 21
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 18
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 15
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 26# 22
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 26# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 27# 20
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 12
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 28# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 28# 27
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 26
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 31# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 30
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 32# 17
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 33# 21
   
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6932
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched72.3192.0
   
Wins112
   
Losses511
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed54159
   
Earned Runs2482
   
Home Runs Allowed1325
   
Strikeouts82202
   
Walks1761
   
ERA3.013.84
   
WHIP0.991.14
   
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6732
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched66.9189.5
   
Wins313
   
Losses310
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed52171
   
Earned Runs2182
   
Home Runs Allowed824
   
Strikeouts83192
   
Walks1562
   
ERA2.883.90
   
WHIP1.001.23
   
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Kenley Jansen slammed the door on the ninth inning of Tuesday's 3-2 win over Arizona, earning his 23rd save of the year.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 26th
Jose Berrios was removed from Saturday's start versus the Royals in the eighth inning due to a blister on his right ring finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Kenley Jansen allowed one run on two hits in an inning of work while locking down his 22nd save of the year on Thursday versus the Giants.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed one run in eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
 Kenley Jansen allowed two baserunners but ultimately slammed the door on the Cubs in the ninth inning Sunday night, preserving a 3-2 Dodgers win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
 Kenley Jansen blew his third save of the year on Saturday versus the Cubs, allowing two runs in the ninth inning as the Dodgers went on to lose 2-1.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
 Kenley Jansen picked up his 20th save of the year on Friday, striking out the side in the ninth to preserve the 5-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Jansen has been so good for so long that you might automatically assume him to be the top closer once again in 2019, but last year, he was nowhere close to it. Rather, his ERA plummeted to 3.01 with "just" 82 Ks. You can still grab him among the top tier, but you shouldn't even be considering taking him in the first five or six rounds.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Kenley Jansen's numbers declined across the board last season, as he posted the lowest K/9 rate (10.3) and highest ERA (3.01) of his career. And yet he still finished as the seventh-best reliever in standard rotisserie leagues. Jansen has pronounced himself "ready to roll" following his second heart procedure in November, and while players are known for being overly optimistic about their health, there isn't much reason to view Jansen as a major risk to miss time. The projection systems generally expect last year's numbers to be Jansen's new normal, so he could be overvalued if fantasy owners anticipate the Jansen of old, but he should still be regarded as a reliable top-10 closer for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 What felt like a disastrous season for Jansen would have been great for most other relievers. He registered a career-high 3.01 ERA and career-low 10.3 K/9 substantially below his career average of 13.5. Health is his primary concern after undergoing heart surgery over the offseason, and he reportedly lost 25 pounds and is "ready to roll." Although no longer the premier closer in town, he's still a top-five option.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros