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Who Should I Draft?

Kenley Jansen or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 42
Best Rank# 5# 22
Worst Rank# 36# 68
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 111
Best Rank# 45# 98
Worst Rank# 61# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17774
Wins124
Saves030
ERA3.833.74
WHIP1.131.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 52
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 39
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 55
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 41
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 46
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 56
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 42
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 46
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 42
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 68
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 63
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 38
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 41
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 53
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 46
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 44
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 41
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 53
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 42
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 27
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 50
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 43
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 27
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 49
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 41
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1127
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.124.0
   
Wins63
   
Losses11
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4018
   
Earned Runs208
   
Home Runs Allowed92
   
Strikeouts8033
   
Walks109
   
ERA2.702.96
   
WHIP0.751.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3063
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched160.760.9
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves010
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed13652
   
Earned Runs6825
   
Home Runs Allowed239
   
Strikeouts17774
   
Walks4617
   
ERA3.833.74
   
WHIP1.131.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
RHP Kenley Jansen earned the win on Tuesday when he walked two and struck out one over a scoreless ninth inning in a tie ball game before the Dodgers took down the Rockies 5-4 in extra innings.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
RHP Kenley Jansen earned the save on Wednesday when he punched out three batters over a scoreless ninth inning in the Dodgers' 5-3 win over the D-Backs.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 16th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Kenley Jansen locked it down in the ninth on Saturday, not allowing a single base runner while striking out one batter.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Kenley Jansen allowed one hit in the ninth, but escaped the inning and earned his 31st save of the year.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
RHP Kenley Jansen earned his 30th save of the season on Tuesday when he worked a scoreless ninth inning while punching out two batters in the Dodgers' 3-2 win over the Braves.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
It feels like Jansen has been on the verge of losing his job at several points over the last two seasons, but he continues to receive nearly every save opportunity for the Dodgers. But Jansen is far from the dominant reliever he was in his prime, as his patented cutter has gone from 94 MPH in 2016 to just 90.9 MPH last year. The Dodgers have plenty of depth behind Jansen, including Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol, Joe Kelly, and Corey Knebel, so Jansen's leash probably won't be all that long. At the same time, Jansen will certainly be the closer coming into the season and has a lengthy track record and a large contract. In today's day and age, that makes him a fairly desirable fantasy closer, despite the concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros