Who Should I Draft?

Kenley Jansen or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 22# 26
Best Rank# 10# 7
Worst Rank# 33# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 71# 68
Best Rank# 55# 55
Worst Rank# 77# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts83178
Wins313
Saves380
ERA2.883.32
WHIP1.001.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 26# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 20# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 31
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 23# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 65
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 22# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 18# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 24# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 20# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 50
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 22# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 43
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 19# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 24# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 14# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 24# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 17# 29
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 18# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 21# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 21# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 22# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 23# 13
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 23# 19
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 23# 7
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 23# 8
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 23# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 20
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 26# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 26# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 27# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 24
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 28# 13
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 28# 24
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 22
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 31# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 11
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 32# 28
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 33# 28
   
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6932
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched72.3191.2
   
Wins119
   
Losses58
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed54173
   
Earned Runs2472
   
Home Runs Allowed1319
   
Strikeouts82220
   
Walks1746
   
ERA3.013.39
   
WHIP0.991.14
   
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6727
   
Games Started026
   
Innings Pitched66.9155.9
   
Wins313
   
Losses36
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed52136
   
Earned Runs2158
   
Home Runs Allowed819
   
Strikeouts83178
   
Walks1540
   
ERA2.883.32
   
WHIP1.001.13
   
  Kenley Jansen
RP - LAD
Kenley Jansen
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Kenley Jansen allowed one run on two hits in an inning of work while locking down his 22nd save of the year on Thursday versus the Giants.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Kenley Jansen allowed two baserunners but ultimately slammed the door on the Cubs in the ninth inning Sunday night, preserving a 3-2 Dodgers win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Kenley Jansen blew his third save of the year on Saturday versus the Cubs, allowing two runs in the ninth inning as the Dodgers went on to lose 2-1.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
 Kenley Jansen picked up his 20th save of the year on Friday, striking out the side in the ninth to preserve the 5-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
 Kenley Jansen struck out two in a perfect ninth to pick up his 19th save of 2019 on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Notes 
 Jansen has been so good for so long that you might automatically assume him to be the top closer once again in 2019, but last year, he was nowhere close to it. Rather, his ERA plummeted to 3.01 with "just" 82 Ks. You can still grab him among the top tier, but you shouldn't even be considering taking him in the first five or six rounds.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Kenley Jansen's numbers declined across the board last season, as he posted the lowest K/9 rate (10.3) and highest ERA (3.01) of his career. And yet he still finished as the seventh-best reliever in standard rotisserie leagues. Jansen has pronounced himself "ready to roll" following his second heart procedure in November, and while players are known for being overly optimistic about their health, there isn't much reason to view Jansen as a major risk to miss time. The projection systems generally expect last year's numbers to be Jansen's new normal, so he could be overvalued if fantasy owners anticipate the Jansen of old, but he should still be regarded as a reliable top-10 closer for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 What felt like a disastrous season for Jansen would have been great for most other relievers. He registered a career-high 3.01 ERA and career-low 10.3 K/9 substantially below his career average of 13.5. Health is his primary concern after undergoing heart surgery over the offseason, and he reportedly lost 25 pounds and is "ready to roll." Although no longer the premier closer in town, he's still a top-five option.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros