Who Should I Draft?

Ken Giles or Jose Alvarado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
44 of 59 experts
25%
Recommended by
15 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 54# 67
Best Rank# 38# 34
Worst Rank# 124# 136
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 144# 166
Best Rank# 134# 157
Worst Rank# 157# 195
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7475
Wins33
Saves3027
ERA3.603.04
WHIP1.181.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 52# 85
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 87
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 52# 61
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 70# 89
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 48# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 76
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 53# 76
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 45# 55
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 66
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 48# 63
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 52# 106
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 64# 74
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 71# 108
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 92# 96
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 58# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 54# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 38# 70
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 97
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 50# 52
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 46# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 49# 77
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 48# 136
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 49# 66
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 50# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 52# 68
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 39# 113
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 74# 90
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 121
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 88# 91
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 58# 65
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 59# 90
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 47# 66
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 53# 67
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 65# 83
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 57# 68
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 65# 69
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 48# 74
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 45# 43
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 47# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 34
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 51# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 51# 47
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 61# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 62# 59
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 63# 50
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 68# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 72# 38
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 76# 75
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 78# 55
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 85# 59
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 119# 73
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 124# 48
   
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played5570
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched50.264.1
   
Wins01
   
Losses36
   
Saves268
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds131
   
Hits Allowed5442
   
Earned Runs2617
   
Home Runs Allowed61
   
Strikeouts5380
   
Walks729
   
ERA4.652.39
   
WHIP1.211.11
   
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6363
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched63.162.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses33
   
Saves3027
   
Blown Saves210
   
Holds17
   
Hits Allowed5747
   
Earned Runs2521
   
Home Runs Allowed74
   
Strikeouts7475
   
Walks1829
   
ERA3.603.04
   
WHIP1.181.23
   
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
News 
 Ken Giles didn't allow a baserunner and struck out two during the ninth inning in a save against the Yankees on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
Jose Alvarado was placed on the 10-day injured list with left elbow inflammation after Saturday's loss at Baltimore, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 25th
 Ken Giles gave up a solo homer before finishing off the Orioles in the ninth inning Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Jose Alvarado pitched the ninth inning on Sunday walking two batters and striking out one for the win as the Rays beat the Tigers by a 5-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 18th
 Ken Giles allowed one hit and a walk but struck out two during the ninth to nail down his 19th save in a 4-3 victory against the Red Sox on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 11th
The Rays activated Jose Alvarado (oblique) off the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 13th
 Ken Giles gave up a two-run home run in the ninth inning and took a loss against the Astros on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
Jose Alvarado (oblique) could join the Rays during their current series against the Padres that lasts through Wednesday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 13th
 Ken Giles saved the game against his former club on Saturday night, working a scoreless ninth inning to protect a two-run lead against the Astros.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 1st
Jose Alvarado (oblique) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks after leaving Saturday’s game with an injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 8th
Notes 
 The Blue Jays took on Ken Giles in the Osuna trade last year. Although Giles' 2018 stats don't look pretty at first glance, his underlying numbers - including a terrific 53-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio - weren't too bad. Giles actually makes for a decent bounce-back candidate and potential draft-day value if your leaguemates are scared off by last year's 4.65 ERA.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After holding down Houston's closing gig in 2017, Giles garnered a 3.08 FIP and 7.57 K/BB rate in 2018. He also posted a 4.65 ERA and got shipped to Toronto after losing the ninth-inning gig. It's the second time in three years his ERA has soared over 4.00 despite excellent peripherals, so drafters can never get too comfortable with the erratic righty. There's still a lot to like. His strikeouts dropped despite an elite 16.0% swinging-strike rate, and he closed the season with 10 scoreless outings as the Blue Jays' closer, a role he'll hold to start the season. He's not far off from the guy who recorded a 2.30 ERA, 11.9 K/9, and 34 saves in 2017.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Giles may have been an elite closer in 2015 and 2017, but his other two seasons have been disappointing for fantasy owners. Although he straightened is out with Toronto in his final 20 innings, we were still looking at a low K-rate and an ERA over 4.00. Plus, it isn't like there will be a ton of save opportunities in Toronto like he saw in Houston the past few years.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros