Who Should I Draft?

Ken Giles or Jose Alvarado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 54# 65
Best Rank# 38# 34
Worst Rank# 124# 136
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 144# 166
Best Rank# 134# 157
Worst Rank# 157# 195
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7475
Wins33
Saves3027
ERA3.603.04
WHIP1.181.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 52# 85
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 87
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 52# 61
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 70# 89
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 48# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 76
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 53# 76
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 45# 55
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 66
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 48# 63
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 52# 106
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 64# 74
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 71# 108
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 92# 96
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 58# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 54# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 38# 70
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 97
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 50# 52
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 56# 82
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 46# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 49# 77
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 48# 136
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 49# 66
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 50# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 52# 68
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 39# 113
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 74# 90
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 121
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 88# 91
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 58# 65
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 59# 90
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 57# 68
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 65# 69
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 48# 74
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 45# 43
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 47# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 34
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 51# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 51# 47
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 61# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 62# 59
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 63# 50
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 68# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 72# 38
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 76# 75
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 78# 55
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 85# 59
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 119# 73
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 124# 48
   
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played5570
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched50.264.1
   
Wins01
   
Losses36
   
Saves268
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds131
   
Hits Allowed5442
   
Earned Runs2617
   
Home Runs Allowed61
   
Strikeouts5380
   
Walks729
   
ERA4.652.39
   
WHIP1.211.11
   
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6363
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched63.162.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses33
   
Saves3027
   
Blown Saves210
   
Holds17
   
Hits Allowed5747
   
Earned Runs2521
   
Home Runs Allowed74
   
Strikeouts7475
   
Walks1829
   
ERA3.603.04
   
WHIP1.181.23
   
  Ken Giles
RP - TOR
Ken Giles
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
News 
 Giles was placed on the 10-day injured list prior to Wednesday's game against the Baltimore Orioles with right elbow inflammation.
James Bisson
Wed, Jun 12th
Jose Alvarado has returned to the United States after leaving for two weeks for a family medical emergency.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Ken Giles recorded a four-out save with three strikeouts and two walks during a 4-3 victory against the Yankees on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 5th
Jose Alvarado (personal), whose seven-day stint on the family medical emergency list ended Saturday, is likely to be moved to the restricted list, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Ken Giles pitched one scoreless inning giving up a hit and striking out three batters as the Blue Jays lost to the Rockies by a 4-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
The Rays have placed Jose Alvarado on the family medical emergency list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Ken Giles pitched the ninth inning on Sunday striking out two of the three batters he faced as the Blue Jays beat the Padres by a 10-1 score.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Jose Alvarado pitched a scoreless inning striking out two batters on Saturday as the Rays lost to the Twins by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Ken Giles got the final four outs against the White Sox on Sunday giving up two hits and striking out three batters to earn his 10th save of the season.
John Aubin
Sun, May 19th
Jose Alvarado posted one strikeout during a two-out save in a 6-3 victory against the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 The Blue Jays took on Ken Giles in the Osuna trade last year. Although Giles' 2018 stats don't look pretty at first glance, his underlying numbers - including a terrific 53-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio - weren't too bad. Giles actually makes for a decent bounce-back candidate and potential draft-day value if your leaguemates are scared off by last year's 4.65 ERA.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After holding down Houston's closing gig in 2017, Giles garnered a 3.08 FIP and 7.57 K/BB rate in 2018. He also posted a 4.65 ERA and got shipped to Toronto after losing the ninth-inning gig. It's the second time in three years his ERA has soared over 4.00 despite excellent peripherals, so drafters can never get too comfortable with the erratic righty. There's still a lot to like. His strikeouts dropped despite an elite 16.0% swinging-strike rate, and he closed the season with 10 scoreless outings as the Blue Jays' closer, a role he'll hold to start the season. He's not far off from the guy who recorded a 2.30 ERA, 11.9 K/9, and 34 saves in 2017.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Giles may have been an elite closer in 2015 and 2017, but his other two seasons have been disappointing for fantasy owners. Although he straightened is out with Toronto in his final 20 innings, we were still looking at a low K-rate and an ERA over 4.00. Plus, it isn't like there will be a ton of save opportunities in Toronto like he saw in Houston the past few years.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros