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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Hyun Jin Ryu (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
43 of 51 experts
16%
Recommended by
8 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 21
Best Rank# 5# 13
Worst Rank# 36# 121
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 62
Best Rank# 45# 56
Worst Rank# 61# 69
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177158
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.833.64
WHIP1.131.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 26
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 121
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 24
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 34
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 19
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 21
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 24
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 21
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 22
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 41
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 24
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 19
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 25
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 28
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 16
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 37
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 22
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 25
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 26
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 18
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched67.167.1
   
Wins65
   
Losses12
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4061
   
Earned Runs2021
   
Home Runs Allowed96
   
Strikeouts8072
   
Walks1017
   
ERA2.702.82
   
WHIP0.751.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched160.7167.5
   
Wins1212
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136161
   
Earned Runs6868
   
Home Runs Allowed2323
   
Strikeouts177158
   
Walks4638
   
ERA3.833.64
   
WHIP1.131.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
The Toronto Blue Jays placed pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu (neck) on the 10-day injured list Sunday with a neck strain.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 20th
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Hyun Jin Ryu allowed five runs on five hits and a walk with two strikeouts in two innings, taking the loss Friday versus Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Hyun Jin Ryu allowed seven runs on eight hits and a walk with four strikeouts in a no-decision in Game 1 of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Hyun Jin Ryu revealed after Monday's start versus the Yankees that he was removed early due to some arm stiffness according to Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 6th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Hyun-Jin Ryu gave up three runs on three hits with three walks and six strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings Tuesday in a loss to the Orioles.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers expected some regression from Ryu after his career season in 2019 and with him moving to the Blue Jays, but it really didn't come. He continued to be among the best in the game at limiting opposing batters' quality of contact, and upped his strikeout rate to 26.2%, second best of his career. Ryu's 2.69 ERA was a bit higher than the 2.32 mark he put up in in 2019, but his FIP, xFIP, SIERA, and xERA were all the same or better than the previous year. In short, other than the potential for injury, which hasn't been a factor in the last two seasons, there's no reason to doubt Ryu at this point.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Ryu fits well on certain roto builds. His elite ERA and WHIP numbers give fantasy managers a very strong base at those rate stats. It's much easier to find high-upside strikeout arms later in drafts, which pair well with Ryu's floor. Over the past three seasons only Jacob deGrom (2.10) has a lower ERA than Ryu (2.30).
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros