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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Javier Baez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 56
Best Rank# 19# 27
Worst Rank# 135# 105
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 75
Best Rank# 45# 56
Worst Rank# 61# 88
   
Projections 
   
Runs85
Home Runs2328
RBI91
Stolen Bases12
Batting Avg.259
Strikeouts177179
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.83
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 70
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 50# 83
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 47# 96
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 35# 79
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 49# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 58
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 57# 84
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 62
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 52# 60
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 56
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 65# 105
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 59
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 57
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 46# 62
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 45# 67
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 73
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 38# 102
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 47# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 67
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 79
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 54
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 60
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 66
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 59
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 55
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 54# 63
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 44# 65
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 40# 72
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 51# 57
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 53
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 50# 53
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 54# 66
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 70# 72
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 60
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 49# 47
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 51# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 57# 54
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 63# 53
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 64# 59
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 68# 59
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 69# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 60
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 70# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 79# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 86# 67
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 89# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 101# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 135# 50
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs27
   
Home Runs98
   
RBI24
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.203
   
Strikeouts8075
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.70
   
WHIP0.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs85
   
Home Runs2328
   
RBI91
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Batting Avg.259
   
Strikeouts177179
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.83
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with one walk and two strikeouts. The Mets won 3-2 and are 73-77 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Javier Baez went 2-for-2 with three walks, two RBIs, one run, and one home run. The Mets lost 7-6 in extras and are 72-74 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 15th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with two runs, one RBI, one home run, and two stolen bases, but the Mets lost 3-2.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 10th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Javier Baez went 4-for-4 with three runs, three singles, one home run, and two RBIs. The Mets won 13-6 Sunday and are 69-68 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with two runs scored, one double, one home run, one RBI, and two strikeouts. The Mets won 11-9 in game one Saturday and are 68-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Everything went wrong for Baez in 2020. His already high strikeout rate increased to 31.9%. His already low walk rated fell to an abysmal 3.0%. He swung less, made contact less, and did not hit the ball as hard as he used to. In the end, Baez earned every bit of his .203 batting average and poor counting stats. But how much weight do you put into a 59-game stretch for a veteran like Baez, particularly when he complained that his inability to watch video between at-bats affected his overall performance. The answer is a little, but not all that much. Baez had a stellar three-year run as a reliable power-speed combination, and he'll be just 28 years old this season. The Cubs lineup won't be overly strong, but Baez should certainly put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 totals than those he put up in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros