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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Javier Baez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
36 of 55 experts
35%
Recommended by
19 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 56
Best Rank# 19# 27
Worst Rank# 135# 105
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 75
Best Rank# 45# 56
Worst Rank# 61# 88
   
Projections 
   
Runs85
Home Runs2328
RBI91
Stolen Bases12
Batting Avg.259
Strikeouts177179
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.83
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 70
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 50# 83
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 47# 96
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 35# 79
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 49# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 58
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 57# 84
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 62
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 52# 60
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 56
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 65# 105
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 59
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 57
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 46# 62
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 45# 67
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 73
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 38# 102
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 47# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 67
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 79
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 54
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 60
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 66
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 59
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 55
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 54# 63
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 44# 65
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 40# 72
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 51# 57
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 53
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 50# 53
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 54# 66
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 70# 72
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 60
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 49# 47
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 51# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 57# 54
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 63# 53
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 68# 59
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 69# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 60
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 70# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 79# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 86# 67
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 89# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 101# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 135# 50
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs27
   
Home Runs98
   
RBI24
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.203
   
Strikeouts8075
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.70
   
WHIP0.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs85
   
Home Runs2328
   
RBI91
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Batting Avg.259
   
Strikeouts177179
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.83
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Sunday‚Äôs game between the Twins and Tigers has been postponed due to rain.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 9th
Javier Baez was removed from Saturday's contest versus the Pirates due to back tightness.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 8th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a 6-5 win over the Rangers on Monday. Maeda struck out eight and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 4th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 Friday versus the Pirates. He would score the eventual game-winning run.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, May 8th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed five runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 7-4 loss to Cleveland on Tuesday. Maeda struck out three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Apr 27th
Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a walk versus the Dodgers Wednesday. He would drive in a key run with a ground out.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, May 6th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed seven runs over three innings of work in a 13-12 loss to Oakland on Wednesday. Maeda struck out just one and allowed eight hits, including three homers.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 21st
Javier Baez had an exciting day Tuesday versus the Dodgers. He committed three errors in the first game to go with a run scored. In Game 2, he came off the bench late and ended up supplying a two-run shot to tie the game in extra innings when the Cubs were down to their last out. Baez now has eight homers this season.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, May 5th
 Minnesota right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed three runs (one earned) over 4 1/3 innings of work in a 3-2 loss to the Red Sox in Game 1 of a Wednesday doubleheader.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 14th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 Sunday versus Cincinnati. His seventh homer of the season was a two-run shot. It came on the high fastball that he had been struggling with early in the season so it is a potential sign of progress.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, May 3rd
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Everything went wrong for Baez in 2020. His already high strikeout rate increased to 31.9%. His already low walk rated fell to an abysmal 3.0%. He swung less, made contact less, and did not hit the ball as hard as he used to. In the end, Baez earned every bit of his .203 batting average and poor counting stats. But how much weight do you put into a 59-game stretch for a veteran like Baez, particularly when he complained that his inability to watch video between at-bats affected his overall performance. The answer is a little, but not all that much. Baez had a stellar three-year run as a reliable power-speed combination, and he'll be just 28 years old this season. The Cubs lineup won't be overly strong, but Baez should certainly put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 totals than those he put up in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros