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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Josh Hader (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
15 of 22 experts
32%
Recommended by
7 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 18
Best Rank# 10# 13
Worst Rank# 37# 27
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 56
Best Rank# 47# 50
Worst Rank# 66# 63
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts182104
Wins124
Saves031
ERA3.872.93
WHIP1.161.00
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 24
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 25
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 21
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 25
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 27
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 24# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 18
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 37# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1121
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.119.1
   
Wins61
   
Losses12
   
Saves013
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed408
   
Earned Runs208
   
Home Runs Allowed93
   
Strikeouts8031
   
Walks1010
   
ERA2.703.79
   
WHIP0.750.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3062
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched165.664.5
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves031
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed14239
   
Earned Runs7121
   
Home Runs Allowed249
   
Strikeouts182104
   
Walks5025
   
ERA3.872.93
   
WHIP1.161.00
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
News 
  Josh Hader's name continues to come up in trade inquiries and the Brewers are "listening," according to Robert Murray of Fansided.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Jan 26th
  The Brewers and LHP Josh Hader avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $6.675 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hader wasn't quite as dominant as he had been the previous two years, largely due to a spike in walk rate and the slightest of declines in strikeout rate. But he still tallied 13 saves, third-best in baseball, and had a miniscule 0.95 WHIP. If you parse it closely, it was just a bizarre season for Hader, who didn't give up a run through his first nine appearances, but subsequently allowed four runs in an inning. He walked five batters in a game, but didn't allow a single walk in any game after that, a span of 11 appearances. In other words, there seems to be a lot of noise in Hader's "decline," which likely would have been ironed out over the course of a full season. Draft him as the top closer off the board with few concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros