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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or J.T. Realmuto (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
28 of 56 experts
50%
Recommended by
28 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 55
Best Rank# 19# 13
Worst Rank# 135# 128
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 48
Best Rank# 45# 39
Worst Rank# 61# 52
   
Projections 
   
Runs76
Home Runs2323
RBI79
Stolen Bases7
Batting Avg.270
Strikeouts177120
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.83
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 63# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 70# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 57# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 135# 89
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 101# 66
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 57# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 86# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 51
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 52# 51
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 51
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 65# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 52
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 49# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 52
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 64# 45
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 44
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 51
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 79# 45
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 68# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 52
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 51
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 54# 50
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 69# 61
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 39
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 54# 43
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 70# 58
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 62
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 52
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 128
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 35# 48
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 38# 46
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 40# 57
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 50
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 44# 45
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 45# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 46# 54
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 47# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 47# 58
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 60
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 49# 72
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 50
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 50# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 56
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 60
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 50# 75
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 51# 53
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 51# 52
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 71
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 85
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 110
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 81
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 84
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 89# 102
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI32
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts8048
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.70
   
WHIP0.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs76
   
Home Runs2323
   
RBI79
   
Stolen Bases7
   
Batting Avg.270
   
Strikeouts177120
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.83
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 2-for-4 with a double, a triple, two RBI, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Orioles.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 3-for-4 with a home run, two RBI, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 16th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto (shoulder) returned to Wednesday's lineup against the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 15th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
J.T. Realmuto is dealing with shoulder inflammation and is not in the lineup on Tuesday against the Cubs.
Ari Koslow
Tue, Sep 14th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 0-for-4 with an RBI and a stolen base in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers. The steal was his ninth of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 9th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Realmuto fractured the thumb on his throwing hand in mid-February, and is iffy for Opening Day. He is in a tier to himself among catchers when healthy, putting up consistently excellent numbers in what is the thinnest of positions. He had the highest barrel rate and hard hit percentage of his career in 2020, and also walked at a career-best pace. Realmuto is in his age-30 season, so that's getting near the point where catchers begin to decline. But given that he's shown no real slippage in his skills to this point, his numbers shouldn't fall off much in 2021, assuming he has no setbacks and returns on or around Opening Day. Back with Philadelphia now and for several years after signing a five-year contract, Realmuto is the only catcher worth drafting before the sixth or seventh round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Never be the first team to draft a catcher, words to live by.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy