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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Julio Urias (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
49 of 50 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 45
Best Rank# 5# 21
Worst Rank# 36# 81
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 118
Best Rank# 45# 111
Worst Rank# 61# 131
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177129
Wins129
Saves00
ERA3.833.76
WHIP1.131.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 44
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 55
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 53
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 60
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 70
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 50
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 81
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 64
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 50
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 49
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 72
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 52
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 40
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 67
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 43
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 48
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 63
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 46
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 48
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 50
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 48
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 47
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 70
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 39
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 49
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 21
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 47
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 33
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1110
   
Innings Pitched67.155.1
   
Wins63
   
Losses10
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4045
   
Earned Runs2020
   
Home Runs Allowed95
   
Strikeouts8045
   
Walks1018
   
ERA2.703.27
   
WHIP0.751.15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3033
   
Games Started2923
   
Innings Pitched160.7128.2
   
Wins129
   
Losses85
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed136111
   
Earned Runs6854
   
Home Runs Allowed2317
   
Strikeouts177129
   
Walks4642
   
ERA3.833.76
   
WHIP1.131.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
News 
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a 6-5 win over the Rangers on Monday. Maeda struck out eight and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 4th
LHP Julio Urias picked up the win on Sunday when he allowed one run on four hits with 10 strikeouts over seven innings the Dodgers' 17-4 win over the Brewers.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, May 2nd
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed five runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 7-4 loss to Cleveland on Tuesday. Maeda struck out three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Apr 27th
LHP Julio Urias took a no-decision on Monday when he allowed three runs on four hits with two walks and six strikeouts over five innings as the Dodgers lost to the Reds 5-3 in extra-innings.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 27th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed seven runs over three innings of work in a 13-12 loss to Oakland on Wednesday. Maeda struck out just one and allowed eight hits, including three homers.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 21st
LHP Julio Urias earned his third win of the season on Tuesday when he surrendered just one hit and one walk with 11 strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers' 1-0 win over the Mariners.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 20th
 Minnesota right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed three runs (one earned) over 4 1/3 innings of work in a 3-2 loss to the Red Sox in Game 1 of a Wednesday doubleheader.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 14th
LHP Julio Urias was handed a no-decision on Thursday when he surrendered five runs (four earned) on seven hits with two walks and six strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 7-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 16th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda threw six innings of two-run ball in a 3-2 win over the Tigers on Wednesday. Maeda struck out six and walked one in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 7th
LHP Julio Urias picked up his second win of the season when he allowed three runs on nine hits with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in a 9-5 win over the Nationals on Saturday.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 11th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Urias had an interesting season (other than his postseason, which was dominant). His numbers overall were very solid, with a 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. But his strikeout rate dipped dramatically as a full-time starter, and his SIERA (4.88) and xFIP (5.06) suggest he got lucky. But the bottom line is that Urias is excellent at limiting hard contact, and he's allowed just a .257 BABIP over the last two seasons, which should keep his ERA in check. The Dodgers' rotation is overflowing, so it's possible they continue to limit Urias's innings. But for now, he should be considered an SP3, and as his playoffs showed, there's plenty of room for growth with his strikeout numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros