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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Liam Hendriks (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
35 of 51 experts
31%
Recommended by
16 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 19
Best Rank# 5# 14
Worst Rank# 36# 57
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 55
Best Rank# 45# 49
Worst Rank# 61# 62
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17791
Wins124
Saves031
ERA3.832.93
WHIP1.131.02
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 18
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 20
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 19
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 21
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 22
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 25
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 20
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 19
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 18
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 21
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 24
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 24
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 19
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 20
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 19
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 18
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1124
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.125.1
   
Wins63
   
Losses11
   
Saves014
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4014
   
Earned Runs205
   
Home Runs Allowed91
   
Strikeouts8037
   
Walks103
   
ERA2.701.78
   
WHIP0.750.67
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3063
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched160.766.0
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves031
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed13651
   
Earned Runs6821
   
Home Runs Allowed238
   
Strikeouts17791
   
Walks4616
   
ERA3.832.93
   
WHIP1.131.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Liam Hendriks had a clean 1-2-3 eighth inning on Tuesday, striking out two batters in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 21st
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Liam Hendricks allowed just one hit, an infield single, in the inning as he secured the victory for the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Liam Hendricks has an easy 1-2-3 ninth inning against Oakland on Tuesday, striking out one batter in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Liam Hendricks pitched a 1-2-3 ninth on Saturday, striking out one batter to earn his 32nd save of the season.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Liam Hendricks recorded five outs on just 18 pitches Wednesday, allowing one hit and striking out two batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hendriks showed last year that his 2019 breakout season was not a fluke, as he improved on just about all of his numbers. Not only did he put up 14 saves in the shortened season, but he dropped his ERA to 1.78, his WHIP to 0.67, and his walk rate to just 3.3%. In short, there's nothing negative you can possibly take away from his 2020 season. Despite moving to a worse park with the White Sox, Hendriks is, without question one of the top closers in fantasy, and should be either the first or second (behind only Josh Hader) relief pitcher drafted.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Hendriks has the most fWAR among relievers over the past two seasons. He got even better in 2020 as both his walk-rate and strikeout-rate ranked within the 98th percentile. Set to exclusively handle the ninth inning for one of the best teams in the American League, Hendriks can confidently be drafted as a top-three closer for 2021 fantasy baseball drafts.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros