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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Yordan Alvarez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
31 of 56 experts
45%
Recommended by
25 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 54
Best Rank# 19# 31
Worst Rank# 135# 93
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 77
Best Rank# 45# 57
Worst Rank# 61# 91
   
Projections 
   
Runs77
Home Runs2332
RBI94
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.284
Strikeouts177130
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.83
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 50# 69
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 47# 57
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 35# 63
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 49# 93
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 65
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 57# 68
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 61
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 56
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 61
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 52# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 65
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 51# 52
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 45# 65
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 38# 53
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 47# 82
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 49# 58
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 89
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 64# 67
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 83
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 66
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 68
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 75
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 57
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 49
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 54# 60
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 44# 56
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 40# 55
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 51# 56
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 66
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 50# 58
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 49
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 31
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 46# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 54# 51
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 47
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 45
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 57# 55
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 37
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 63# 38
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 65# 53
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 68# 57
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 69# 63
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 70# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 70# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 59
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 79# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 79# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 86# 55
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 89# 40
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 101# 62
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 135# 47
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs2
   
Home Runs91
   
RBI4
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.250
   
Strikeouts801
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.70
   
WHIP0.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs77
   
Home Runs2332
   
RBI94
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.284
   
Strikeouts177130
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.83
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Slugger Yordan Alvarez was the first of four Astros to hit a home run against the Athletics on Saturday. He finished the day 1-for-4 with the three-run blast but also struck out once. Houston ultimately defeated Oakland by a score of 10-4.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez went 1-for-4 with a single against the Rays on Tuesday. He also struck out twice in the effort. Houston ultimately defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 4-3.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 29th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Astros outfielder Yordan Alvarez went 3-for-4 with a single, double, and two-run homer against the Angels on Wednesday evening. He scored twice and totaled three RBI along the way. Houston ultimately defeated Los Angeles by a score of 9-5 in 12 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez finished 1-for-5 with a two-run homer against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. He also stranded four runners on base in the effort. Houston ultimately fell to Arizona by a score of 6-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 19th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez went 2-for-5 with a solo homer and two-run homer against the Rangers on Monday. He also walked once and scored four times in the effort. Houston ultimately defeated Texas by a score of 15-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Alvarez missed almost all of last season and had surgery on both of his knees, which is obviously worrisome for his 2021 outlook. His 2019 performance was incredibly impressive on every level (50 homers, 149 RBI in 143 games between the majors and minors), and he offers a high batting average floor to boot. It's all about health with Alvarez, so monitor his performance this spring. If he shows he's remotely healthy, his ADP is going to skyrocket.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros