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Who Should I Draft?

Keston Hiura or Charlie Blackmon (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
Charlie Blackmon
RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
27 of 50 experts
46%
Recommended by
23 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 49
Best Rank# 35# 11
Worst Rank# 74# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 69# 70
Best Rank# 65# 66
Worst Rank# 94# 87
   
Projections 
   
Runs7988
Home Runs2923
RBI8481
Stolen Bases115
Batting Average.254.291
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 37# 63
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 72
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 44# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 78
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 50# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 39# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 50
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 45# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 44
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 48# 92
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 65
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 40# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 58
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 41# 49
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 55# 56
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 44# 73
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 41# 68
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 47# 49
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 48# 50
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 55# 73
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 47# 49
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 69# 77
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 42# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 42# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 45
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 47# 45
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 47# 45
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 47# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 48
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 52# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 54# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 55# 45
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 55# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 55# 43
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 42
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 57# 54
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 59# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 59# 48
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 60# 37
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 62# 58
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 62# 35
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 62# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 68# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 70# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 74# 52
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
Charlie Blackmon
RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats217221
   
Runs3031
   
Hits4666
   
Singles2947
   
Doubles412
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs136
   
RBI3240
   
Stolen Bases32
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks1619
   
Strikeouts8544
   
Batting Average.212.299
   
On Base Pct.297.352
   
Slugging Pct.410.443
   
On-base Plus Slugging.707.796
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
Charlie Blackmon
RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats543550
   
Runs7988
   
Hits137159
   
Singles7899
   
Doubles2731
   
Triples25
   
Home Runs2923
   
RBI8481
   
Stolen Bases115
   
Caught Stealing53
   
Walks4346
   
Strikeouts180113
   
Batting Average.254.291
   
On Base Pct.309.347
   
Slugging Pct.471.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.780.837
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
Charlie Blackmon
RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
News 
 Keston Hiura went 1-for-3 with an RBI and a steal in Monday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Apr 13th
Rockies outfielder Charlie Blackmon did go 1-for-4 on Sunday, but he failed to come through when it mattered most. The veteran stranded a team-high six runners in the loss.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Apr 11th
 Keston Hiura went 2-for-5 with a home run and three RBI in Saturday's win over the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Apr 10th
Rockies outfielder Charlie Blackmon isn't the lineup on Wednesday. Instead, Garrett Hampson is batting leadoff for the Rockies.
Corbin Young
Wed, Apr 7th
 Keston Hiura went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts in Monday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Apr 6th
Charlie Blackmon went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run on Friday night. While the Rockies eventually lost to the Dodgers, Blackmon's seventh-inning blast broke up Trevor Bauer's no-hitter.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Apr 3rd
 Keston Hiura will be the team’s starting first baseman for 2021, per Brewers president David Stearns.
Brad Camara
Fri, Feb 5th
 
Notes 
 Hiura looked to be on the verge of superstardom heading into 2020, if he could just cut back on his bloated 30.7% strikeout rate. Instead, he struck out more than ever (34.6% of the time), en route to a league-leading 85 strikeouts. That led to a massive drop in production, notably in batting average, which fell from .303 in 2019 to .212 last year. Hiura was never a high-strikeout player in the minors. He never struck out more than 26.3% in any level and he had an overall strikeout rate of just 21%. If he can manage to cut down on the whiffs, he should be a top option at second base given his power and speed, but for now, drop him down your draft board a bit from where he was heading into 2020. He's still a borderline top-five option, especially since he will add first base eligibility after the Brewers signed Kolten Wong, but exercise more caution.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Blackmon hit just six home runs last year, and the quality of his contact was downright awful. His 86.9 MPH average exit velocity, 29.7% hard hit rate, and 4.9% barrel rate were all well below the MLB average and at or close to his career worst marks. And his sprint speed continued to decline to now what is essentially league average. The steals are likely gone for good, but even on his worst day, Blackmon will help you in batting average, runs, and RBI, and he was still on pace for 15 home runs last year. Blackmon may be on the downside of his career, but he won't cost you much and can still contribute solid or better numbers in four of five categories. With his draft price fairly modest, there's plenty of value there.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Keston Hiura is clearly one of the most volatile players in 2021 drafts. He had a tremendous rookie season, only to come crashing back down to earth in 2020. The main culprit of this downturn was his very high strikeout rate, which has since carried over into spring training. Hiura has always been considered a bat first prospect and has a clear path to 30+ HRs and 15+ SBs, however, he is going to need to cut down on his strikeouts and put the ball in play more often. If he is able to get back into 2019 form, or even close to it, he will be a steal at ADP, if he doesn't, well, he will be a frustrating player to trust. Risk/Reward here with Hiura, and I side with the risk.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 The case for Hiura as a fantasy player this year is entirely based on his prospect pedigree. After functioning as one of the worst defenders in baseball over the past two seasons, Hiura is moving from second base to first base in order to make room for Kolten Wong. Hopefully the new home in the field helps him get back on track at the plate. Hiura's strikeout rate and exit velocity both worsened in his sophomore campaign. Still, we all know it was a weird year and Hiura's track record is one to believe in. I'm fading at his current re-draft ADP, but it's well within the realm of possibilities that he has a strong bounce back season. He's another risk-reward player entering '21.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros