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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Anthony Rizzo (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
32 of 45 experts
29%
Recommended by
13 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 32
Best Rank# 20# 20
Worst Rank# 79# 52
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 59
Best Rank# 34# 36
Worst Rank# 44# 65
   
Projections 
   
Runs3334
Home Runs911
RBI3036
Stolen Bases32
Batting Average.301.290
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 41
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 46
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 46# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 31
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 37
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 34
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 33
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 38# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 49
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 28# 52
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 32
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 35
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 44
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 34
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 40
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 33# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 41
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 37
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 33
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 28
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 21
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 31
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 20
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 65# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 25
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569512
   
Runs9789
   
Hits187150
   
Singles11091
   
Doubles3629
   
Triples93
   
Home Runs3227
   
RBI9294
   
Stolen Bases105
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks5371
   
Strikeouts8686
   
Batting Average.329.293
   
On Base Pct.389.405
   
Slugging Pct.592.520
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981.924
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210200
   
Runs3334
   
Hits6358
   
Singles3835
   
Doubles1312
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI3036
   
Stolen Bases32
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks2028
   
Strikeouts3333
   
Batting Average.301.290
   
On Base Pct.362.376
   
Slugging Pct.513.508
   
On-base Plus Slugging.875.885
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
News 
  Anthony Rizzo was not in Tuesday's intrasquad game due to lower back tightness.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Tue, Jul 7th
  Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports that Anthony Rizzo is planning to play in the 2020 MLB season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 29th
  Anthony Rizzo (blister) played first base and hit second on Saturday against the Reds, going 0-for-2 with a run scored.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Sun, Mar 8th
  Anthony Rizzo was scratched from Thursday's spring game against the Rangers due to a blister.
Brad Camara
Thu, Mar 5th
  Anthony Rizzo is primarily expected to bat second for the Cubs in 2020.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 20th
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
It's like the fantasy community finally caught on to Rizzo. For years, he's gone in the first few rounds of drafts, but there was really no justification for it. Even now, going 43rd overall is early for Rizzo, who fails to stand out in any real way. He's a poor man's Freddie Freeman, but, like, really poor. The power production has dipped, too, and that's in an age where you need your first baseman to hit home runs. If you want to grab him as a safe play at a shallow position, go for it, but you're passing up on better talent to do so.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
We've never seen Rizzo hit 35 homers or bat .300 but his production has been so steady that fantasy owners can be certain they'll get 25 homers with 80+ runs, 90+ RBIs and a batting average north of .275. That makes him a worthwhile 4th or 5th round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
About as safe as you can get. Great pick if you take risks elsewhere.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
better in points
Frank Stampfl - RotoExperts
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy