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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Austin Meadows (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,CF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
15 of 25 experts
40%
Recommended by
10 of 25 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 55# 57
Best Rank# 24# 38
Worst Rank# 80# 97
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 91
Best Rank# 56# 87
Worst Rank# 83# 108
   
Projections 
   
Runs8474
Home Runs2123
RBI7571
Stolen Bases711
Batting Average.291.259
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 53
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 56
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 63
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 55# 57
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 52
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 76
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 61
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 55# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 55
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 55# 58
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 56# 58
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 97
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 50# 57
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 47# 49
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 58
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 45
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 55# 46
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 60# 38
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 61# 56
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 62# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 65
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 73# 57
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 76# 58
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 79# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 80# 73
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,CF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats181132
   
Runs1919
   
Hits5227
   
Singles3514
   
Doubles148
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs24
   
RBI1713
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks717
   
Strikeouts2150
   
Batting Average.287.205
   
On Base Pct.323.296
   
Slugging Pct.409.371
   
On-base Plus Slugging.732.667
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,CF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats576496
   
Runs8474
   
Hits166126
   
Singles10572
   
Doubles3427
   
Triples74
   
Home Runs2123
   
RBI7571
   
Stolen Bases711
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks4850
   
Strikeouts85134
   
Batting Average.291.259
   
On Base Pct.343.323
   
Slugging Pct.481.470
   
On-base Plus Slugging.824.792
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,CF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
News 
  Rays manager Kevin Cash says OF Austin Meadows cut weight over the offseason.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 25th
Notes 
 Most fantasy managers expected regression from Marte after his breakout 2019 season, but few saw last year coming. Marte hit two homeruns in his 45 games, and contributed minimally elsewhere other than batting average. His walk rate dropped to a miniscule 3.6%, and although he struck out less than ever, the quality of his contact was overwhelmingly poor. Truth be told, both 2019 and 2020 are probably outliers for Marte, and the truth probably lies somewhere between his 2018 (.260/.332/.437) and 2019 (.329/.389/.592) seasons. Those numbers will play at second base, especially given Marte's draft cost, but give up dreams of him hitting 32 home runs ever again.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Meadows missed time with an oblique injury last year, and, more importantly, because of complications from COVID-19. Meadows's strikeout rate ballooned to 32.9% and his average fell to just .205 in 2020. Even if you expected regression from his 2019 season, he's just much better than a player who put up the 87 wRC+ and .292 wOBA we saw last year. Though it's absolutely fair to write off Meadows's season entirely, it's a bit worrisome that he struggled so much against lefties (.143 batting average), as that could potentially open him up to a platoon situation if he struggles against them out of the gate. The best course of action is to discount him from his numbers in 2019 for certain, but still buy him as a strong third outfielder, which should bake in the risk of any continued struggles against his upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 290 - 20 - 7
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
275 - 30 - 7
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports