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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Blake Snell (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
29 of 55 experts
47%
Recommended by
26 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 37# 40
Best Rank# 24# 20
Worst Rank# 113# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 39# 43
Best Rank# 32# 36
Worst Rank# 44# 47
   
Projections 
   
Runs33
Home Runs97
RBI30
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.296
Strikeouts3375
Wins5
Saves0
ERA3.39
WHIP1.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 53
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 67
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 60# 117
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 35# 72
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 34# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 37# 80
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 49
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 38
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 38# 60
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 45
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 44# 77
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 63
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 27# 66
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 38# 61
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 27# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 40# 52
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 75
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 25# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 44
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 35
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 60
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 36# 46
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 68# 71
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 39# 74
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 55
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 36# 65
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 28
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 36# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 37# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 34
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 39# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 34
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 40# 35
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 41# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 40
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 44# 38
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 44# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 44# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 44# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 46# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 23
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 50# 32
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 51# 32
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 53# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 55# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 37
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 113# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 113# 36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs97
   
Home Runs3214
   
RBI92
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.329
   
Strikeouts86147
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA4.29
   
WHIP1.27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs97
   
RBI30
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.296
   
Strikeouts3375
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.39
   
WHIP1.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
News 
 Ketel Marte went 2-for-3 with a double, two-run single, and a sacrifice fly in Sunday's win over Colorado.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 28th
Blake Snell allowed one run on two hits and no walks while striking out nine over five 1/3 innings during Tuesday's 3-1 loss to the Dodgers in Game 6 of the World Series. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Oct 28th
 The Diamondbacks activated Ketel Marte (wrist) off the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
Blake Snell allowed two runs on two hits and four walks while striking out nine over four 2/3 innings during Wednesday's 6-4 win over the Dodgers in Game 2 of the World Series. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Thu, Oct 22nd
 Ketel Marte (wrist) is scheduled to take batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
Blake Snell named the Rays’ Game 2 starter of the World Series against the Dodgers.
Brad Camara
Mon, Oct 19th
 Ketel Marte went 4-for-5 with a double, a home run, and two RBI in Friday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 5th
Blake Snell allowed two runs on three hits and four walks while striking out four across four innings during Friday's 7-4 loss to the Astros in Game 6 of the ALCS.
Brad Camara
Sat, Oct 17th
 Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo says Ketel Marte will see time in center field moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 2nd
Blake Snell will start Friday in Game 6 of the ALCS against the Astros.
Brad Camara
Thu, Oct 15th
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Better pitcher than some of the others ahead of him but I don't trust him to be consistent. Go big or go home is one way to look at it and if that's your way, move Snell up 20 picks. I am a steady as we go guy and Snell is riskier than I feel good about .
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
You need to pull the trigger on a starter eventually. With Snell, there's no debating the ace-type ceiling that he has - look at his 2018 season if you need further proof - but so far, that's been the big outlier for him. He's dealt with a rash of injuries, which has forced the Rays to limit his workload. In Spring Training, he was dealing with elbow soreness. He's a high-risk, high-reward pick this year. You've been warned.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Snell's subpar season was limited to just 107 innings after he underwent arthroscopic elbow surgery. Although owners might want to shy away after last year, there were plenty of encouraging signs. His FIP and xFIP were roughly a run lower than his ERA, his 33.3% strikeout rate was actually an improvement on his breakout year, and batters continued to make incredibly weak contact. If healthy, he should return to dominance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Easy bounce-back candidate. Would've led baseball in swinging strike rate if he had the innings to qualify
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Advanced stats back up last year's breakout
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros