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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
Experts' Pick
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
Recommended by
41 of 43 experts
Recommended by
2 of 43 experts
ECR# 15# 30
Best Rank# 8# 20
Worst Rank# 35# 79
Composite# 18# 41
Best Rank# 14# 35
Worst Rank# 35# 44
Home Runs2622
Stolen Bases198
Batting Average.277.296
Injury Alert--
Expert Ranks 
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 39
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 29
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 38
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 34
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 25
Site Projections
# 10# 36
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 41
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 75
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 26
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 33
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 38
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 34
Andrew Gould
# 21# 31
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 30
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 10# 29
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 26
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 26
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 36
Mario Mergola
# 11# 65
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 30
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 20
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 27
Bill Dubiel
# 14# 38
Nick Mariano
# 14# 30
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 28
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 32
Donkey Teeth
# 10# 32
Dan Harris
# 16# 29
Pierre Camus
# 24# 36
Andrew Seifter
# 24# 39
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 22
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 33
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 22
Ariel Cohen
# 20# 42
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 36
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 21
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 29
George Kurtz
# 20# 33
Nate Miller
# 20# 28
Chris Mitchell
# 11# 79
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 23
Bobby Sylvester
# 31# 28
Carmen Maiorano
# 35# 29
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
At Bats334569
Home Runs2232
Stolen Bases1610
Caught Stealing62
Batting Average.317.329
On Base Pct.379.389
Slugging Pct.590.592
On-base Plus Slugging.969.981
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
At Bats488517
Home Runs2622
Stolen Bases198
Caught Stealing72
Batting Average.277.296
On Base Pct.338.357
Slugging Pct.506.507
On-base Plus Slugging.843.865
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
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