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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
41 of 43 experts
5%
Recommended by
2 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 30
Best Rank# 8# 20
Worst Rank# 35# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 41
Best Rank# 14# 35
Worst Rank# 35# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs8181
Home Runs2622
RBI6972
Stolen Bases198
Batting Average.277.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 34
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 36
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 26
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 30
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 10# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 30
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 24# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 21
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 29
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 79
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 28
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334569
   
Runs6197
   
Hits106187
   
Singles65110
   
Doubles1336
   
Triples69
   
Home Runs2232
   
RBI5392
   
Stolen Bases1610
   
Caught Stealing62
   
Walks3053
   
Strikeouts11086
   
Batting Average.317.329
   
On Base Pct.379.389
   
Slugging Pct.590.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats488517
   
Runs8181
   
Hits135153
   
Singles7992
   
Doubles2230
   
Triples68
   
Home Runs2622
   
RBI6972
   
Stolen Bases198
   
Caught Stealing72
   
Walks4449
   
Strikeouts15181
   
Batting Average.277.296
   
On Base Pct.338.357
   
Slugging Pct.506.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.843.865
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
 
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 
Notes 
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
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