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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Keston Hiura (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Keston Hiura
2B - MIL
Keston Hiura
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
32 of 45 experts
29%
Recommended by
13 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 33
Best Rank# 20# 19
Worst Rank# 79# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 48
Best Rank# 34# 42
Worst Rank# 44# 64
   
Projections 
   
Runs3129
Home Runs911
RBI2930
Stolen Bases35
Batting Average.303.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 33
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 49
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 40
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 41
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 36
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 55
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 39
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 35
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 37
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 38# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 40
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 28# 42
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 40
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 46
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 38
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 67
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 41
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 33# 36
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 55
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 29
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 31
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 31
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 39# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 39# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 36
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 65# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 30
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Keston Hiura
2B - MIL
Keston Hiura
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569314
   
Runs9751
   
Hits18795
   
Singles11051
   
Doubles3623
   
Triples92
   
Home Runs3219
   
RBI9249
   
Stolen Bases109
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks5325
   
Strikeouts86107
   
Batting Average.329.303
   
On Base Pct.389.368
   
Slugging Pct.592.570
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981.938
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Keston Hiura
2B - MIL
Keston Hiura
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats209200
   
Runs3129
   
Hits6357
   
Singles3833
   
Doubles1312
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI2930
   
Stolen Bases35
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks2015
   
Strikeouts3361
   
Batting Average.303.284
   
On Base Pct.365.334
   
Slugging Pct.516.515
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.849
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Keston Hiura
2B - MIL
Keston Hiura
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Keston Hiura was my favorite player to go after in 2018 first-year player drafts who wasn't named Shohei Ohtani. Yes, more than Luis Robert. I compared him at the time to prime Dustin Pedroia but with more power. Hiura's early returns were better than I had imagined. He's in the perfect ballpark, and he's at the shallowest position outside of catcher to justify this ranking - even with the high strikeout marks. Hiura is going to be a top-three second baseman in fantasy for the next decade."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In his first year with the big league club, Hiura was every bit as good as advertised, going for 19 homers, 9 steals and a .303 BA in just half a season. We could very well see him among the top three in the position by year's end, but he isn't quite as safe as any of the options above him.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Keston Hiura is one of my most owned players and one of my favorite picks at ADP this season. You are getting what I call the "Sophomore Discount," which is when rookies blow up on to the scene and people are hesitant to fully buy into it. Hiura is a pure hitter, hits the ball ridiculously hard, and will bat in the heart of a solid lineup. Sign me up as he has clear 30/15 upside and room for more.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy