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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Kris Bryant (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Kris Bryant
3B,LF,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
32 of 45 experts
29%
Recommended by
13 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 35
Best Rank# 20# 21
Worst Rank# 79# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 44
Best Rank# 34# 39
Worst Rank# 44# 56
   
Projections 
   
Runs3338
Home Runs911
RBI3030
Stolen Bases32
Batting Average.301.285
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 60
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 39
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 46# 50
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 36
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 35
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 30
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 36
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 42
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 48
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 28# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 48
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 49
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 49
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 46
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 40
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 33# 55
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 38
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 35
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 31
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 38# 37
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 42
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 49
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 65# 59
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 39
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Kris Bryant
3B,LF,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569543
   
Runs97108
   
Hits187152
   
Singles11085
   
Doubles3635
   
Triples91
   
Home Runs3231
   
RBI9277
   
Stolen Bases104
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks5374
   
Strikeouts86145
   
Batting Average.329.280
   
On Base Pct.389.380
   
Slugging Pct.592.519
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981.900
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Kris Bryant
3B,LF,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210202
   
Runs3338
   
Hits6358
   
Singles3832
   
Doubles1213
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI3030
   
Stolen Bases32
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks2028
   
Strikeouts3354
   
Batting Average.301.285
   
On Base Pct.362.373
   
Slugging Pct.513.511
   
On-base Plus Slugging.875.884
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Kris Bryant
3B,LF,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
News 
  Cubs mamanger David Ross confirmed Monday that Kris Bryant will still hit leadoff this season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 29th
  Cubs manager David Ross says he is committed to Kris Bryant as the team's leadoff hitter in 2020.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 19th
  Following a sit down with Theo Epstein, Kris Bryant says he expects to remain with the Cubs for the 2020 season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 19th
  Third baseman Kris Bryant lost his grievance against the Chicago Cubs in which he sought an extra year of service time, ensuring he won't become a free agent until after the 2021 season, according to a report from ESPN's Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Jan 29th
  Kris Bryant (ankle) and the Cubs avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $18.6 million deal Friday.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 10th
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With Kris Bryant's profile, it's hard to justify taking him this high when there are guys who can give you the same production at the position later in the draft. The return to 31 home run was nice, yes, but his batted ball data points to that being the near-ceiling for Bryant in terms of home runs. For all of his accolades and loaded offenses that he's been in, he's only produced more than 100 RBIs once in his career.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bryant is an excellent player, of course, but his fourth round ADP is a classic case of the name driving the price. He should hit .275 with 30 homers if he stays healthy, but you can find that out of Eddie Rosario and several others a few rounds later.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
One of my biggest fades this season. Advanced stats say he did not earn all of his HRs or his batting average, he has missed time each of the last two seasons, his SB upside is limited, and he he is in the middle of whirling trade rumors. Hard pass.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
appears due for BA regression
Al Melchior - The Athletic
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy