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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Nelson Cruz (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Expert
Recommendation
72%
Recommended by
33 of 46 experts
28%
Recommended by
13 of 46 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 34
Best Rank# 20# 19
Worst Rank# 79# 57
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 81
Best Rank# 34# 61
Worst Rank# 44# 90
   
Projections 
   
Runs3331
Home Runs914
RBI3040
Stolen Bases30
Batting Average.298.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 36
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 57
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 37
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 44# 49
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 37
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 52
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 34
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 27# 47
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 38
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 40
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 28# 39
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 32
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 33
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 29# 19
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 23
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 33# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 26
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 38# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 42# 31
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 65# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 35
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569454
   
Runs9781
   
Hits187141
   
Singles11074
   
Doubles3626
   
Triples90
   
Home Runs3241
   
RBI92108
   
Stolen Bases100
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks5356
   
Strikeouts86131
   
Batting Average.329.311
   
On Base Pct.389.392
   
Slugging Pct.592.639
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9811.031
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210190
   
Runs3331
   
Hits6353
   
Singles3830
   
Doubles129
   
Triples30
   
Home Runs914
   
RBI3040
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks2022
   
Strikeouts3351
   
Batting Average.298.281
   
On Base Pct.360.356
   
Slugging Pct.509.553
   
On-base Plus Slugging.869.910
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
News 
  Nelson Cruz told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune that he does not plan to retire after the 2020 season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 1st
  Nelson Cruz receives 2020 Muhammad Ali Sports Humanitarian Award on the ESPYs.
Brad Camara
Mon, Jun 22nd
  Nelson Cruz went 1-for-3 with a double in Wednesday's game against the Atlanta Braves.
Michael Felner
Thu, Mar 12th
  Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 3-for-3 with a solo homer in a 3-3 tie with the Orioles on Thursday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Mar 5th
  Nelson Cruz went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Wednesday's game against the Phillies.
Michael Felner
Thu, Feb 27th
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Nelson Cruz falls in every draft, in every year, for the past four to five years. It's because he's ancient in baseball years, and only David Ortiz remains undefeated against Father Time. It also hurts that Cruz is DH only, but production is production. If you're looking at Yordan Alvarez in the first few rounds of the draft, you'd be better suited to wait a few rounds and take Cruz for as good - if not better - production. That is, assuming this isn't year where it all falls apart.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you removed Cruz's age from the equation, he'd be a top pick in fantasy. Despite missing nearly a quarter of the season to injury last year, he again put up elite numbers, topping 40 home runs and 100 RBI while batting .311. Cruz will be 40 this year, never plays the field and is starting to miss more time to injuries. But he's essentially forgotten in most drafts and has shown very little skills decline. Don't shy away from him on draft day even though he clogs your utility spot.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Hit .311 with 41 homers last year. Entering age-39 season
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy