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Who Should I Draft?

Kevin Gausman or James Karinchak (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kevin Gausman
SP,RP - SF
Kevin Gausman
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 49
Best Rank# 17# 28
Worst Rank# 111# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 137# 102
Best Rank# 127# 94
Worst Rank# 160# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17499
Wins103
Saves022
ERA3.983.23
WHIP1.221.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 48# 55
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 33# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 60
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 41# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 56
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 43
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 45# 55
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 21# 49
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 43# 100
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 74# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 38# 43
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 45# 117
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 92
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 45# 62
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 34# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 45
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 41# 61
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 44# 47
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 37
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 55# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 98
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 24# 65
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 38# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 40
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 45# 40
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 47# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 49# 40
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 50# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 51# 43
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 52# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 32
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 54# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 36
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 56# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 57# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 58# 53
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 48
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 60# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 64# 51
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 70# 43
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 70# 56
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 74# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 85# 61
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 111# 47
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kevin Gausman
SP,RP - SF
Kevin Gausman
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1227
   
Games Started100
   
Innings Pitched60.327.0
   
Wins31
   
Losses32
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed5014
   
Earned Runs248
   
Home Runs Allowed81
   
Strikeouts7953
   
Walks1616
   
ERA3.622.67
   
WHIP1.111.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kevin Gausman
SP,RP - SF
Kevin Gausman
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2961
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched161.461.3
   
Wins103
   
Losses93
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds06
   
Hits Allowed15240
   
Earned Runs7122
   
Home Runs Allowed217
   
Strikeouts17499
   
Walks4432
   
ERA3.983.23
   
WHIP1.221.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kevin Gausman
SP,RP - SF
Kevin Gausman
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
 RHP Kevin Gausman took the loss on Thursday when he allowed four runs on eight hits with one walk and seven strikeouts over five innings in the Giants' 7-4 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 16th
The Cleveland Indians have optioned reliever James Karinchak to Triple-A Columbus. His roster spot will go to first baseman Bobby Bradley, who was activated from the IL.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
 Kevin Gausman allowed three runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out nine across six innings during Saturday's 15-4 win over the Cubs.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Sep 11th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He struck out two and allowed just one hit.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
 RHP Kevin Gausman picked up his 13th win of the season on Monday when he allowed three runs on five hits with one walk and nine strikeouts over seven innings as the Giants took down the Rockies 10-5.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 6th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed a run in his lone inning of work in a 4-3 loss to Oakland on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Aug 11th
 RHP Kevin Gausman received a no-decision on Wednesday when he surrendered two runs on four hits with a walk and seven strikeouts over five innings pitched as the Giants lost to the Brewers by a score of 5-2.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 2nd
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed three runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 12-11 win over the White Sox on Saturday. He walked one and gave up two hits, including a two-run homer.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 1st
 RHP Kevin Gausman took a no-decision on Friday when he allowed two runs on six hits with two strikeouts over six innings as the Giants lost to the Braves 6-5.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Aug 27th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw a scoreless eighth inning in a 3-2 win over the Rays on Sunday. He worked around one walk in the frame.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jul 25th
Notes 
 Gausman had the best season of his career with the Giants last season, and accepted a qualifying offer to remain in San Francisco. Gausman not only put up an impressive 3.62 ERA, but he upped his strikeout rate by about nine points to 32.2%. He saw a nice velocity bump on his fastball and leaned into his excellent splitter a bit more than usual. The downside for Gausman is that he really is mostly a fastball/splitter pitcher, meaning that when his splitter isn't working, he's likely to get hit hard. But, we've now at least seen the upside over a full season, and he's a pretty ideal SP4/SP5 if you can get him in that range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros