Who Should I Draft?

Kirby Yates or Luis Castillo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
31 of 56 experts
45%
Recommended by
25 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 39
Best Rank# 22# 24
Worst Rank# 78# 89
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 128# 108
Best Rank# 114# 100
Worst Rank# 846# 147
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts16988
Wins113
Saves029
ERA3.863.17
WHIP1.221.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 40
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 22# 42
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 48
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 47
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 36
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 46# 89
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 44# 54
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 36
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 38# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 67
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 40# 47
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 46
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 41
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 45
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 66
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 48
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 50
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 41# 49
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 37# 51
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 28# 52
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 43
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 39# 59
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 78# 29
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 31
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 41# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 38# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 34
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 34
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 36
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 37
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 38# 37
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 37
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 37
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 61# 39
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 54# 44
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 56# 48
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3165
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched170.263.0
   
Wins105
   
Losses123
   
Saves012
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds016
   
Hits Allowed15841
   
Earned Runs8115
   
Home Runs Allowed286
   
Strikeouts16590
   
Walks4917
   
ERA4.302.14
   
WHIP1.220.92
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3065
   
Games Started300
   
Innings Pitched169.963.1
   
Wins113
   
Losses103
   
Saves029
   
Blown Saves06
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed15649
   
Earned Runs7322
   
Home Runs Allowed248
   
Strikeouts16988
   
Walks5221
   
ERA3.863.17
   
WHIP1.221.11
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
News 
 Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits and five walks over 3 2/3 innings on Saturday against the Brewers. He struck out six and took the loss.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 24th
Kirby Yates picked up a save for the third straight day on Tuesday versus the Brewers, striking out two in a scoreless ninth to protect the 4-1 win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
 Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over six innings in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday. He walked six and struck out seven while improving to 7-1.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Kirby Yates was at it again on Monday versus Milwaukee, striking out one in a perfect ninth to secure his 25th save of the season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 18th
 Luis Castillo allowed one run on four hits over six innings in the Reds' 2-1 extra innings loss to the Indians on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Kirby Yates struck out two in a perfect ninth to earn his 24th save of the season on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
 Luis Castillo allowed (three runs) two earned on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in the Reds' 8-5 loss to the Pirates on Sunday. He walked four and struck out four in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, May 28th
Kirby Yates allowed a solo homer in the twelfth inning of Friday's 16-12 win over the Rockies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in the Reds' 11-9 loss to the Brewers on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out two in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 23rd
Kirby Yates struck out one in a perfect ninth to preserve the 5-4 win over the Nationals on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 7th
Notes 
 Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Yates took over as the Padres' closer following the Brad Hand trade last July, and the team didn't skip a beat. Yates finished with an impressive 2.14 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 12.86 K/9, so he should return as the unquestioned 2019 closer barring a surprise acquisition. Yates' fantasy value also gets a bit of a boost from the Padres signing Manny Machado, as it decreases the likelihood of Yates getting dealt to a contender at the trade deadline.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The Padres kept their assembly line of elite relievers running when Brad Hand's midseason trade propelled Yates into the ninth inning. Hardly a downgrade, he posted a 2.14 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with the sixth-highest K-BB% (29.2) of all qualified relievers. He could follow Hand's path out of San Diego, but there's no guarantee he'd settle for a setup role elsewhere. At least a safe bet to keep the job with an exceptional strikeout tally while still on the team, drafters should pick him now and worry about a potential deal later.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The Padres aren't expected to compete with the Dodgers or even Rockies for the division, but San Diego plays in enough low scoring close games that their closers tend to rack up the saves. This year should be no different for their new closer, who just so happened to be one of the best setup men in baseball before Brad Hand left the closer job open. Yates should find his way to 80+ Ks to go with amazing ratios once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros