Who Should I Draft?

Kirby Yates or Luis Castillo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
33 of 59 experts
44%
Recommended by
26 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 40
Best Rank# 22# 24
Worst Rank# 78# 89
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 128# 108
Best Rank# 114# 100
Worst Rank# 846# 147
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts16988
Wins113
Saves029
ERA3.863.17
WHIP1.221.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 40
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 22# 42
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 48
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 47
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 36
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 46# 89
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 44# 54
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 36
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 38# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 67
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 46
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 41
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 45
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 66
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 48
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 50
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 41# 49
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 56
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 37# 51
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 41# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 59
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 28# 52
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 43
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 39# 59
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 78# 29
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 31
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 41# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 38# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 34
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 34
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 36
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 37
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 38# 37
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 37
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 37
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 61# 39
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 54# 44
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 56# 48
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 75# 51
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3165
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched170.263.0
   
Wins105
   
Losses123
   
Saves012
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds016
   
Hits Allowed15841
   
Earned Runs8115
   
Home Runs Allowed286
   
Strikeouts16590
   
Walks4917
   
ERA4.302.14
   
WHIP1.220.92
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3065
   
Games Started300
   
Innings Pitched169.963.1
   
Wins113
   
Losses103
   
Saves029
   
Blown Saves06
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed15649
   
Earned Runs7322
   
Home Runs Allowed248
   
Strikeouts16988
   
Walks5221
   
ERA3.863.17
   
WHIP1.221.11
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kirby Yates
RP - SD
Kirby Yates
News 
 Luis Castillo (15-8) took the loss Thursday against the Brewers, allowing five runs on five hits and four walks across five innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 26th
Kirby Yates picked up his 39th save of the year on Saturday against the Giants, striking out the side to preserve the 4-1 win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 1st
 Luis Castillo (15-7) was saddled with the loss Friday against the Mets, allowing three runs on three hits and three walks over seven innings. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
Kirby Yates earned his 38th save of the season on Monday versus the Dodgers, striking out the side to protect the 4-3 win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 27th
 Luis Castillo (15-6) earned the win Friday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks across five innings. He struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
Kirby Yates registered his 37th save of the year on Sunday versus the Red Sox, striking out two in a perfect ninth inning.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 26th
 Luis Castillo (14-6) took the loss Saturday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks across 7.2 innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th
Kirby Yates earned his 35th save on Sunday versus the Phillies, striking out the side in a scoreless ninth.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 19th
 Luis Castillo (14-5) earned the win Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 2nd
Kirby Yates preserved the 5-3 win over the Phillies on Saturday night, securing his 34th save of the season with the outing.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 18th
Notes 
 Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Yates took over as the Padres' closer following the Brad Hand trade last July, and the team didn't skip a beat. Yates finished with an impressive 2.14 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 12.86 K/9, so he should return as the unquestioned 2019 closer barring a surprise acquisition. Yates' fantasy value also gets a bit of a boost from the Padres signing Manny Machado, as it decreases the likelihood of Yates getting dealt to a contender at the trade deadline.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The Padres kept their assembly line of elite relievers running when Brad Hand's midseason trade propelled Yates into the ninth inning. Hardly a downgrade, he posted a 2.14 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with the sixth-highest K-BB% (29.2) of all qualified relievers. He could follow Hand's path out of San Diego, but there's no guarantee he'd settle for a setup role elsewhere. At least a safe bet to keep the job with an exceptional strikeout tally while still on the team, drafters should pick him now and worry about a potential deal later.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The Padres aren't expected to compete with the Dodgers or even Rockies for the division, but San Diego plays in enough low scoring close games that their closers tend to rack up the saves. This year should be no different for their new closer, who just so happened to be one of the best setup men in baseball before Brad Hand left the closer job open. Yates should find his way to 80+ Ks to go with amazing ratios once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros