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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Hendricks or Edwin Diaz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
32 of 51 experts
37%
Recommended by
19 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 26
Best Rank# 13# 18
Worst Rank# 43# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 72# 81
Best Rank# 63# 71
Worst Rank# 79# 90
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts154102
Wins124
Saves030
ERA3.883.04
WHIP1.171.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 32
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 23# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 19# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 30# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 19# 27
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 24
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 30
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 29# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 23# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 25# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 21# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 27# 30
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 23# 28
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 25# 28
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 24# 26
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 27# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 35# 38
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 13# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 23# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 26# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 25
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 26# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 28# 27
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 32# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 30
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 35# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 39# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1226
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched81.026.2
   
Wins62
   
Losses51
   
Saves06
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed7318
   
Earned Runs265
   
Home Runs Allowed102
   
Strikeouts6450
   
Walks814
   
ERA2.881.75
   
WHIP1.001.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3064
   
Games Started300
   
Innings Pitched182.362.9
   
Wins124
   
Losses103
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed17847
   
Earned Runs7921
   
Home Runs Allowed258
   
Strikeouts154102
   
Walks3423
   
ERA3.883.04
   
WHIP1.171.12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Kyle Hendricks went 5 2/3 innings versus the Twins Wednesday. He would allow four runs (three earned) and take the loss to fall to 14-7 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, Sep 23rd
Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning and nailed down his 30th save of the season. The Mets won 3-2 Sunday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Kyle Hendricks went 3 2/3 innings Thursday versus the Phillies. He would allow seven runs but took a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Sep 17th
Edwin Diaz allowed two runs on two hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in one inning. He blew the win for starter Rich Hill on Friday, but the Mets scored four runs in the top of the tenth to take the lead and redeem Diaz.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Kyle Hendricks went six innings versus the Giants Saturday. He would allow one run and earn a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, Sep 11th
Edwin Diaz was perfect in the ninth inning with two strikeouts Thursday. The Mets won 4-3 and are one game under .500 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Kyle Hendricks went 4 1/3 innings versus the Pirates Saturday. He would allow six runs in a no-decision. Hendricks has allowed 28 runs over his last five starts.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Sep 5th
Edwin Diaz struck out two in a perfect inning for his 27th save. The Mets won 3-1 and swept an unconventional doubleheader on Tuesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
 Kyle Hendricks went 4 2/3 innings versus Chicago Sunday. He would allow eight runs and take the loss to fall to 14-6 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Aug 30th
Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning to record the save in Saturday's affair against the Nationals. The Mets improved to 62-67 with the win.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Notes 
 Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros