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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Hendricks or Edwin Diaz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
12 of 20 experts
40%
Recommended by
8 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 29
Best Rank# 20# 22
Worst Rank# 44# 39
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 79# 86
Best Rank# 73# 78
Worst Rank# 85# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts156103
Wins123
Saves030
ERA3.922.97
WHIP1.191.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 34
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 30
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 35
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 30# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 27
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 39
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 22# 26
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 22
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 29# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 28
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 33# 27
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 38# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 44# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1226
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched81.026.2
   
Wins62
   
Losses51
   
Saves06
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed7318
   
Earned Runs265
   
Home Runs Allowed102
   
Strikeouts6450
   
Walks814
   
ERA2.881.75
   
WHIP1.001.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3064
   
Games Started300
   
Innings Pitched185.263.7
   
Wins123
   
Losses103
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed18347
   
Earned Runs8121
   
Home Runs Allowed258
   
Strikeouts156103
   
Walks3726
   
ERA3.922.97
   
WHIP1.191.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
  Mets manager Luis Rojas says Edwin Diaz "may be the guy that gets the most chances" in the closer role this year.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 24th
  Edwin Diaz avoids arbitration with the New York Mets, agreeing to a deal worth $7 million.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros