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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Hendricks or Max Fried (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
12 of 24 experts
50%
Recommended by
12 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 31
Best Rank# 20# 19
Worst Rank# 44# 95
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 78# 66
Best Rank# 69# 55
Worst Rank# 86# 87
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts155160
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.883.81
WHIP1.191.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 24
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 27
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 30# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 27
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 39# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 25
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 32# 24
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 21
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 33# 20
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 44# 32
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 37
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 23# 31
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 26# 34
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 29# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 47
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 95
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 60
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched81.056.2
   
Wins67
   
Losses50
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7342
   
Earned Runs2614
   
Home Runs Allowed102
   
Strikeouts6450
   
Walks819
   
ERA2.882.25
   
WHIP1.001.09
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3029
   
Innings Pitched183.6164.3
   
Wins1212
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181157
   
Earned Runs7970
   
Home Runs Allowed2518
   
Strikeouts155160
   
Walks3757
   
ERA3.883.81
   
WHIP1.191.30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
News 
  Braves southpaw Max Fried was scratched from Friday's Grapefruit League start due to a "potential exposure" with someone who had COVID-19.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Mar 4th
  The Braves and LHP Max Fried avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $3.5 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 7.5 - 3.40 - 1.10
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
9 - 3.50 - 1.27
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros