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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Hendricks or Sonny Gray (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
31 of 51 experts
39%
Recommended by
20 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 28
Best Rank# 13# 16
Worst Rank# 43# 120
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 72# 90
Best Rank# 63# 80
Worst Rank# 79# 111
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts154179
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.883.79
WHIP1.171.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 25
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 46
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 41
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 48
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 26# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 19# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 26# 39
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 19# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 31
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 33
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 23# 28
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 31
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 23# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 21# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 49
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 25# 49
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 24# 28
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 120
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 13# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 23# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 23# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 22
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 25# 19
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 27# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 17
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 27# 23
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 29# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 25
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 30# 21
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 32# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 23
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 35# 22
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 35# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 39# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched81.056.2
   
Wins65
   
Losses53
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7342
   
Earned Runs2623
   
Home Runs Allowed104
   
Strikeouts6472
   
Walks826
   
ERA2.883.70
   
WHIP1.001.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3029
   
Innings Pitched182.3157.6
   
Wins1211
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed178132
   
Earned Runs7966
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts154179
   
Walks3459
   
ERA3.883.79
   
WHIP1.171.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
News 
 Kyle Hendricks went 5 2/3 innings versus the Twins Wednesday. He would allow four runs (three earned) and take the loss to fall to 14-7 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, Sep 23rd
Sonny Gray (7-8) was saddled with the loss Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs (three earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 18th
 Kyle Hendricks went 3 2/3 innings Thursday versus the Phillies. He would allow seven runs but took a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Sep 17th
Sonny Gray (7-7) took the loss Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on three hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 12th
 Kyle Hendricks went six innings versus the Giants Saturday. He would allow one run and earn a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, Sep 11th
Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to the Cubs, allowing three runs (two earned) on three hits in five innings. He struck out eight and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
 Kyle Hendricks went 4 1/3 innings versus the Pirates Saturday. He would allow six runs in a no-decision. Hendricks has allowed 28 runs over his last five starts.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Sep 5th
Sonny Gray (7-6) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cardinals in Game 2 of the doubleheader. He allowed two runs on two hits across five innings. He walked none and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
 Kyle Hendricks went 4 2/3 innings versus Chicago Sunday. He would allow eight runs and take the loss to fall to 14-6 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Aug 30th
Sonny Gray (6-6) picked up the win Thursday against Milwaukee, tossing six scoreless innings while allowing three hits and two walks. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Aug 26th
Notes 
 Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros