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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Hendricks or Zack Greinke (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
41 of 51 experts
20%
Recommended by
10 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 29
Best Rank# 13# 10
Worst Rank# 43# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 72# 93
Best Rank# 63# 65
Worst Rank# 79# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts154171
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.883.85
WHIP1.171.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 59
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 61
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 26# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 23# 29
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 19# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 27
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 26# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 28# 38
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 22
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 31
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 29# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 23# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 25# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 23# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 21# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 27# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 23# 37
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 35# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 24# 30
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 29
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 27# 46
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 13# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 10
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 19# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 22
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 25# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 15
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 30# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 32# 31
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 35# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 39# 35
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched81.067.1
   
Wins63
   
Losses53
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7367
   
Earned Runs2630
   
Home Runs Allowed106
   
Strikeouts6467
   
Walks89
   
ERA2.884.03
   
WHIP1.001.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched182.3183.4
   
Wins1212
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed178174
   
Earned Runs7978
   
Home Runs Allowed2528
   
Strikeouts154171
   
Walks3436
   
ERA3.883.85
   
WHIP1.171.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Kyle Hendricks went 5 2/3 innings versus the Twins Wednesday. He would allow four runs (three earned) and take the loss to fall to 14-7 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, Sep 23rd
Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
 Kyle Hendricks went 3 2/3 innings Thursday versus the Phillies. He would allow seven runs but took a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Sep 17th
Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
 Kyle Hendricks went six innings versus the Giants Saturday. He would allow one run and earn a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, Sep 11th
Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 Kyle Hendricks went 4 1/3 innings versus the Pirates Saturday. He would allow six runs in a no-decision. Hendricks has allowed 28 runs over his last five starts.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Sep 5th
Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
 Kyle Hendricks went 4 2/3 innings versus Chicago Sunday. He would allow eight runs and take the loss to fall to 14-6 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Aug 30th
Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros