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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Lewis or Ke'Bryan Hayes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Kyle Lewis
CF,RF - SEA
Kyle Lewis
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
41 of 50 experts
18%
Recommended by
9 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 85# 103
Best Rank# 57# 63
Worst Rank# 139# 161
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 133# 146
Best Rank# 127# 125
Worst Rank# 147# 164
   
Projections 
   
Runs7275
Home Runs1623
RBI6272
Stolen Bases87
Batting Average.275.246
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 149
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 89# 93
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 108# 161
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 77# 96
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 161
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 85# 100
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 133
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 94# 104
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 86# 120
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 57# 107
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 102# 103
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 80# 102
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 79# 88
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 85# 107
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 83# 95
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 89# 134
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 91# 109
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 88# 96
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 64# 105
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 70# 102
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 72# 96
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 73# 100
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 69# 102
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 83# 114
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 85# 122
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 98
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 73# 112
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 90# 96
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 71# 80
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 94# 112
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 113# 123
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 85# 95
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 58# 102
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 88# 91
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 58# 153
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 66# 69
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 86# 99
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 75# 139
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 91# 94
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 82# 107
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 98# 99
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 101# 63
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 102# 63
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 91# 71
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 95# 90
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 92# 91
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 105# 95
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 137# 101
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 139# 106
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 115# 114
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Kyle Lewis
CF,RF - SEA
Kyle Lewis
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats85206
   
Runs1737
   
Hits3254
   
Singles1840
   
Doubles73
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs511
   
RBI1128
   
Stolen Bases15
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks934
   
Strikeouts2071
   
Batting Average.377.262
   
On Base Pct.442.364
   
Slugging Pct.682.437
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.125.801
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Kyle Lewis
CF,RF - SEA
Kyle Lewis
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats506529
   
Runs7275
   
Hits137129
   
Singles8484
   
Doubles3121
   
Triples51
   
Home Runs1623
   
RBI6272
   
Stolen Bases87
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks5062
   
Strikeouts116178
   
Batting Average.275.246
   
On Base Pct.341.326
   
Slugging Pct.451.422
   
On-base Plus Slugging.793.748
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Kyle Lewis
CF,RF - SEA
Kyle Lewis
News 
 Pirates 3B Ke'Bryan Hayes (wrist) hit on the field for the first time on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 18th
Kyle Lewis went 0-for-3 with one walk and one strikeout in the Mariners 1-0 loss Tuesday against the Dodgers.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Apr 21st
 Pirates 3B Ke'Bryan Hayes (wrist) has yet to resume swinging a bat.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Apr 13th
Kyle Lewis has been activated from the 10-day IL.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Apr 20th
 Pirates director of sports medicine Todd Tomczyk says that third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes (wrist) is "making daily improvements."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 7th
Kyle Lewis (knee), who has not played this season, is expected to make his debut on Tuesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Apr 19th
 Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes was placed on the 10-day injured list with a left wrist injury.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 4th
Mariners manager Scott Servais is "pretty confident" that Kyle Lewis (knee) will make his season debut on Monday or Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 17th
 Pirates 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes (wrist) is absent from Sunday’s lineup against the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 4th
Seattle Mariners centerfielder Kyle Lewis, who's on the IL with a deep bone bruise in his knee, is expected to come off the injured list and rejoin the team during their next homestand next week, per general manager Jerry Dipoto.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 15th
Notes 
 Hayes came up through the minors as a glove-first prospect before erupting onto the major league scene by hitting 376/.442/.582 in a 24-game sample. His 92.8 mph average exit velocity and 55.4% hard-hit rate both would've ranked within the top-15 of baseball if he had the playing time to qualify. Hayes still hits more ground balls than I'd like, but he's talented enough to continue adjusting and is already a very different hitter than he was in 2019. Hayes might not hit 25+ homers but fantasy managers can expect a high average with a lot of doubles. Early-career Manny Machado is my best comparison for him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Even in a shortened year, Lewis managed to have two distinctively different seasons en route to the AL Rookie of the Year Award. In the first half, he hit .368 with seven home runs. In the second half, he hit just .150 with four home runs. Lewis has plenty of tools but needs to cut back on his strikeouts if he's going to avoid the ups and downs he saw last year. His average is likely to hurt you, but he has 25-homer pop, and can throw in a handful of steals. Despite his rookie of the year award, there's not a ton of buzz on Lewis after his late-season slide, so he'll likely come at a discount.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hayes had an outstanding 24-game run with the Pirates last year, hitting five home runs with an 1.124 OPS and a 55.4% hard-hit rate, which would have ranked seventh best in the majors had he had enough plate appearances. But that was far more offensve production than he had shown in the minors, where he totaled just a .752 OPS with 25 home runs in 461 career games. Hayes makes a ton of contact and should bat near the top of the Pirates order this year, so even if he regresses some offensively, he should still find enough counting stats to be useful. But don't expect 2020's power levels.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There's a tendency to think Lewis came out of nowhere in 2020. That just isn't true as he was Seattle's 11th overall pick back in the 2016 amateur draft. A devastating knee injury delayed the start of his pro career and Lewis ultimately fell out of top prospect rankings. He made his big league debut in 2019, hitting six homers in 18 games to close out the year. The reports on him were high entering summer camp, and Lewis homered off Justin Verlander on Opening Day. Unfortunately, strikeouts became a concern. Through August 31st Lewis had a 24.8% K-rate. That figure ballooned to 37.1% in September. Lewis was a fantastic story in 2020. That doesn't mean we should overvalue him entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Ke'Bryan Hayes busted onto the scene once he was promoted to the majors. He slashed .376/.442/.682 with five home runs, 11 RBI, 17 runs scored and one stolen base across 95 plate appearances in 2020. The 24-year-old is expected to be the Pirates primary third baseman and hit in the top of the order. Hayes stole 25 bases in the minors from 2018-2019 and is a threat for double digit steals. Hayes will look to build on his 2020 campaign and could produce a 20-10 season for fantasy managers in 2021.
Brad Camara - FantasyPros