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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Blake Snell (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
83%
Recommended by
5 of 6 experts
17%
Recommended by
1 of 6 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 18
Best Rank# 12# 13
Worst Rank# 34# 40
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 51
Best Rank# 47# 44
Worst Rank# 50# 58
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts190206
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.523.99
WHIP1.211.25
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 37
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 12# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 13# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1113
   
Games Started1113
   
Innings Pitched50.284.0
   
Wins46
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4264
   
Earned Runs1831
   
Home Runs Allowed1013
   
Strikeouts6389
   
Walks1825
   
ERA3.243.32
   
WHIP1.201.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched156.9191.8
   
Wins1213
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed131175
   
Earned Runs6185
   
Home Runs Allowed2029
   
Strikeouts190206
   
Walks5964
   
ERA3.523.99
   
WHIP1.211.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros