Who Should I Draft?
Lance Lynn or Blake Snell (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Blake Snell SP - SD  | Lance Lynn SP - CWS  | |
Expert |
83% Recommended by 5 of 6 experts |
17% Recommended by 1 of 6 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 13 | # 18 |
| Best Rank | # 12 | # 13 |
| Worst Rank | # 34 | # 40 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 49 | # 51 |
| Best Rank | # 47 | # 44 |
| Worst Rank | # 50 | # 58 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 190 | 206 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.52 | 3.99 |
| WHIP | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 34 | # 37 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 12 | # 40 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 15 | # 18 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 15 | # 17 |
| Brendan Tuma BettingPros | # 13 | # 14 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 14 | # 13 |
| Blake Snell SP - SD | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 11 | 13 |
| Games Started | 11 | 13 |
| Innings Pitched | 50.2 | 84.0 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 42 | 64 |
| Earned Runs | 18 | 31 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 10 | 13 |
| Strikeouts | 63 | 89 |
| Walks | 18 | 25 |
| ERA | 3.24 | 3.32 |
| WHIP | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| Blake Snell SP - SD | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 29 | 31 |
| Games Started | 29 | 30 |
| Innings Pitched | 156.9 | 191.8 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 131 | 175 |
| Earned Runs | 61 | 85 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 20 | 29 |
| Strikeouts | 190 | 206 |
| Walks | 59 | 64 |
| ERA | 3.52 | 3.99 |
| WHIP | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Blake Snell SP - SD | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| News | ||
| There are no recent news for these players | ||
| Notes | ||
| Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness. Brendan Tuma - BettingPros | ||
