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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Carlos Carrasco (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
24 of 43 experts
44%
Recommended by
19 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 39
Best Rank# 23# 21
Worst Rank# 74# 109
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 115# 124
Best Rank# 107# 107
Worst Rank# 136# 135
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7468
Wins54
Saves00
ERA4.033.73
WHIP1.301.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 54
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 39
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 55
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 109
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 45
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 44# 54
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 38
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 36# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 29
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 32# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 60
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 36# 99
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 36# 37
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 39
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 48
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 45# 59
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 29# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 42# 54
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 24# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 24
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 27
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 38# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 35
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 37
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 38# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 34
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 46# 33
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 48# 36
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 43
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 53# 22
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 53# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 53# 22
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 63# 49
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 74# 48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3323
   
Games Started3312
   
Innings Pitched208.180.2
   
Wins166
   
Losses117
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed19592
   
Earned Runs8547
   
Home Runs Allowed2118
   
Strikeouts24696
   
Walks5916
   
ERA3.675.29
   
WHIP1.221.35
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1210
   
Games Started1210
   
Innings Pitched68.660.1
   
Wins54
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6557
   
Earned Runs3125
   
Home Runs Allowed99
   
Strikeouts7468
   
Walks2414
   
ERA4.033.73
   
WHIP1.301.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
News 
 Lance Lynn struck out eight over six scoreless innings in a simulated game on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 7th
Carlos Carrasco (elbow) says he is "ready to go" and has built up to pitching six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 3rd
 The Rangers announced that Lance Lynn will be the team's Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 25th
Indians manager Terry Francona says Carlos Carrasco (elbow) is throwing bullpens in Cleveland.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 17th
  Carlos Carrasco received an injection in his elbow and will be shut down for a few days.
Brad Camara
Wed, Mar 11th
  Cleveland pitcher Carlos Carrasco has "been backed up a few days due to mild elbow inflammation," according to a report from beat reporter Mandy Bell. However, manager Terry Francona seemed unconcerned and described the situation as maintenance.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Mar 7th
  Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco allowed two runs in two innings in an 11-7 loss to the Angels on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Mar 3rd
Notes 
 If you're playing the volume game and quantity over quality, Lynn is your guys. What he did in 2019 seems legit, based on the numbers, but it's hard to shake what he's done over his career in comparison.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
The Indians had Carrasco on their lineup for Spring Training, so all signs point to him playing this year. If he pitches and can be healthy, he's an absolute steal here at this nice spot. The relief eligibility elevates him in points leagues.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Lynn was truly phenomenal last season, turning his velocity gains into both an increase in strikeout rate and a massive drop in walk rate. Everything Lynn did in 2019 was backed up by his underlying metrics, so there's plenty of reason for optimism in 2020. But it's fair to consider how out of character Lynn's year was, an add just a wee bit of caution to your projections.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Carrasco was already dealing with plenty of question marks after losing much of last season to leukemia, and now has been diagnosed with a mild hip flexor. He's day-to-day but it's obviously not the start to the spring that Carrasco owners were hoping for. Continue to monitor his progress but he avoids setbacks, he represents a fairly steep bargain in fantasy drafts, given his past performance and the fact that last year can largely be written off to his illness.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 If he can replicate his 2019 season he will be a tremendous value at ADP. A 200+ K pitcher with a strong ERA and Whip in the 9th-10th round is very alluring. Had an FIP even better than his ERA in 2019, so there is reason for optimism.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Too many injured seasons for Carrasco throughout his career and he is having some soreness this Spring already. He has been "relatively" healthy over the last 3 or 4 years (2019 he had his physical issues), and I love the strikeout potential, but I can't help but be cautious here.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData